Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 240917
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
317 AM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A NICE SATURDAY IS IN STORE...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT
WLY/SWLY FLOW HELPING TO BOOST AFTERNOON TEMPS WELL INTO THE 50S
WITH SOME LOWER 60S POSSIBLE IN NE OK. A FAST MOVING UPPER WAVE WILL
BRING A SLIGHTLY COOLER AIRMASS AND MORE CLOUDS FOR SUNDAY. HIGH
TEMPS SHOULD BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER...ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR ERN OK
AND NW AR.

RISING HEIGHTS/UPPER RIDGING BUILDS IN FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS RUNNING ABOUT 10-15 DEGREES WARMER THAN AVERAGE.

A COUPLE OF SURGES OF COLDER AIR ARE EXPECTED LATER IN THE EXTENDED
FORECAST...WITH THE INITIAL COOLER AIRMASS ARRIVING ON THURSDAY.
THIS WILL KNOCK AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES BACK A FEW DEGREES...ALTHOUGH
READINGS STILL LOOK TO BE ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS. A MUCH STRONGER PUSH
OF COLD AIR LOOKS TO ARRIVE NEXT WEEKEND...JUST BEYOND THE SCOPE OF
THIS FORECAST. EXTENDED GUIDANCE IS STRUGGLING WITH THE
AMOUNT/PLACEMENT OF ANY PRECIPITATION...WITH THE GFS CERTAINLY
PAINTING A WINTRY SITUATION ACROSS THE REGION NEXT WEEKEND WHILE THE
ECMWF KEEPS THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION TO OUR SOUTH. STILL WAY
TOO EARLY TO MAKE A CALL ON THIS. STAY TUNED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   59  40  58  32 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   58  35  58  34 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   58  38  61  34 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   61  35  59  30 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   56  36  53  30 /   0   0  10   0
BYV   56  39  52  30 /   0   0  10  10
MKO   57  37  58  33 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   58  38  54  29 /   0   0  10  10
F10   59  39  60  34 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   58  35  63  35 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....18





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