Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KTSA 010442
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1142 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR THROUGH ENTIRE PERIOD. SCT HIGH LEVEL CLOUD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 803 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015/

DISCUSSION...

THE MID LEVEL RIDGE WAS CENTERED OVER WESTERN TX...WHILE A SURFACE
RIDGE RESIDED OVER THE OZARKS. DRIER AIR MIXED DOWN TO THE SURFACE
OVER IN WESTERN AR TODAY BENEATH THE RIDGE...WITH DEWPOINTS
FALLING OFF INTO THE 50S FOR A TIME. STORMS THAT DEVELOPED IN THE
TX PANHANDLE AND WESTERN OK IN THE LOW LVL THETAE AXIS DIED IN
CENTRAL OK. THUS...SHOULD BE A QUIET NIGHT ACROSS EASTERN
OK/WESTERN AR. ALL MENTION OF PRECIP WAS REMOVED FROM THE
FORECAST.

LACY

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 627 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 300 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015/

DISCUSSION...
ONGOING ISOLATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH BY AROUND 0Z. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REMAIN THE
DOMINANT PLAYER IN OUR WEATHER OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. RELATIVELY
DRIER AIR ACROSS THE REGION WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW
SEASONAL AVERAGES THROUGH THE WEEKEND... WITH MINIMAL
PRECIPITATION CHANCES.

THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE FAR ENOUGH TO OUR WEST BY
TUESDAY TO ALLOW A MINOR DISTURBANCE IN WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
TO RAISE PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS MAINLY THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. A WEAK SURFACE FRONT IS
PROGGED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE OKLAHOMA KANSAS BORDER... WHICH WILL
LIKELY BE THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.

AFTER THAT... THE RIDGE WILL STRENGTHEN... ONCE AGAIN BRINGING
UNSEASONABLY HOT TEMPERATURES TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM THE
MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   71  92  73  91 /   0   0   0  10
FSM   70  94  73  95 /  10   0   0  10
MLC   72  94  74  93 /  10   0   0   0
BVO   68  92  70  91 /   0   0  10  10
FYV   68  90  71  89 /  10   0   0  10
BYV   67  92  70  91 /  10   0   0  10
MKO   70  92  72  91 /  10   0   0  10
MIO   67  92  68  91 /  10   0   0  10
F10   72  92  74  90 /  10   0   0  10
HHW   72  96  74  98 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....12
AVIATION...21



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.