Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KTSA 222328
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
528 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
For the most part, VFR conditions will prevail. There is some
potential for fog again tonight across western Arkansas, but
considerable high clouds and slightly drier airmass will limit
potential for low visibility. Winds will become gusty out of the
south by mid morning Thursday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 353 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Fire weather will be the main concern over the next couple days.
Southerly winds will increase and become gusty Thursday, and will
combine with record or near record breaking warmth to result in an
elevated fore danger. Conditions will approach Red Flag Criteria
along and west of Highway 75 in northeast Oklahoma, and with quite
a few fires having already occurred this month, will issue a Fire
Weather Watch for this area Thursday afternoon.

A cold front will move across the area Thursday night, with gusty
west winds in its wake Friday. The fire danger will again be
elevated Friday despite much cooler temperatures, and southern
parts of the area may again be near Red Flag Criteria.

A freeze will occur early Saturday, and afternoon temperatures
will also remain a few degrees below the seasonal normals. A
warming trend will begin Sunday, but will be tempered some by an
increase in cloudiness later in the day. Rain chances will
increase Sunday night into early Monday as surface low pressure
tracks near the Red River. Shower and thunderstorm chances will
increase again by Tuesday and Tuesday night as a stronger storm
system and associated cold front moves into the area. Depending on
the amount of insolation Tuesday, fire weather concerns may be
heightened again due to gusty southerly winds and warm
temperatures ahead of the front.

Stayed close to guidance temperatures the next couple days, with
the cooler NAM MOS looking best for highs Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   50  84  44  58 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   50  85  51  67 /   0   0   0  10
MLC   52  85  46  63 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   42  84  40  56 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   46  80  48  60 /   0   0  10  10
BYV   50  81  51  62 /   0   0   0  10
MKO   50  84  46  62 /   0   0  10   0
MIO   50  82  45  57 /   0   0  10   0
F10   51  84  45  60 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   50  85  51  69 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Fire Weather Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday
     evening for OKZ054-055-059-060-064>066.

AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...14



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.