Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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876
FXUS64 KTSA 122337
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
537 PM CST FRI FEB 12 2016

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
High clouds will spread into the area from the northwest.  A
few stratocumulus clouds are noted in southeast Kansas and
southwest Missouri...but they are not expected to survive
moving into Oklahoma and Arkansas.  VFR conditions are
expected through the next 24 hours.  Beyond this forecast
time conditions will begin to slowly deteriorate as
moisture increases and deepens over the area head of the
next low pressure system.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 356 PM CST FRI FEB 12 2016/

DISCUSSION...
A colder airmass will settle across eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas tonight into Saturday, but we will see just a glancing
blow of the cold air. An upper level disturbance will result in
some light rain or drizzle late Saturday night into Sunday, and
temperatures may be cold enough for some light freezing rain in
parts of far northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.

Once this system moves out, warm and dry weather will take over
for next week. Model low level temperature progs support near
record high temperatures by next Thursday and Friday, and
increasing winds by that time will also raise the fire danger.

Stayed close to guidance temperatures the next couple days, then
went at or above all guidance most of next week as is typical with
these cold seaosn warm spells.

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...08



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