Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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203
FXUS64 KTSA 291415
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
915 AM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Sent a quick update to clear behind the ongoing convection which
has almost cleared our northwest Arkansas counties. It is still
unclear how much the boundary layer can recover by afternoon. Will
take a look at latest observational and model data to get a better
idea before this afternoon. Latest short term guidance suggests
surface low/warm front will move into SE KS by early afternoon
with most of the new storms forming north and east of Tulsa.
Looks like northwest portions of Arkansas may have the slightly
better chance for severe storms this afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   74  48  56  43 /  60  40  50  10
FSM   76  53  60  45 /  70  50  40  10
MLC   75  49  60  44 /  50  30  30  10
BVO   73  48  56  41 /  60  40  50  10
FYV   73  50  56  44 /  80  50  50  20
BYV   72  52  58  44 /  80  70  60  30
MKO   74  50  57  44 /  60  40  40  10
MIO   71  49  56  43 /  70  50  50  20
F10   73  48  57  43 /  50  30  30  10
HHW   76  52  64  47 /  50  30  20   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...06
LONG TERM....05

CORFIDI



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