Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KTSA 240529
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1229 AM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Line of showers and t-storms extending from NE southward into OK
and TX will move eastward overnight. Cigs will gradually descend
through this period with MVFR expected by 13-15Z as the remnants
of this convective line move over the terminals. A few scattered
showers will be possible into the afternoon. By late afternoon
another round of t-storms is expected to develop along the line.
The OK terminals should be clear by that time, but western AR
terminals could see t-storms late in the afternoon/early evening.
Southerly winds will remain gusty through the period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 943 PM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Gusty southerly winds will continue overnight in advance of the
approaching storm system from the west. Scattered showers and
possibly weak thunderstorms will likely begin to develop across
parts of eastern Oklahoma towards sunrise, with this activity
slowly increasing through the morning hours Friday as it advances
east. The best chance for severe storms Friday will be across far
southeast and eastern Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas from about
midday through the afternoon hours, with damaging winds being the
main threat. A secondary severe hail threat will exist very late
Friday afternoon and evening across mainly northeast Oklahoma as
cold temperatures aloft spread into this area in association with
the center of the upper low. The current forecast has this
scenario well in hand, and no update is planned at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   79  51  66  46 /  40  30  20   0
FSM   72  53  67  46 /  90  40  20   0
MLC   77  52  69  47 /  80  10  10   0
BVO   78  50  65  41 /  30  40  20   0
FYV   68  51  61  43 /  90  60  40   0
BYV   69  51  60  44 /  90  70  40   0
MKO   72  53  66  46 /  80  30  20   0
MIO   71  51  60  43 /  80  50  40   0
F10   79  51  67  46 /  60  20  10   0
HHW   73  52  71  48 /  80  10   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Fire Weather Watch from this afternoon through this evening for
     OKZ054-059-064-065.

AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...06
AVIATION...11


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.