Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 221749
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1249 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Scattered showers/thunderstorms will likely develop along approaching
cold front this afternoon across northeast Oklahoma/northwest Arkansas.
This activity will push south across SE OK and west- central Arkansas
this evening. IFR conditions will be likely in the stronger storms,
primarily due to visibility restrictions. VFR conditions expected
Wednesday morning across the north behind cold front as drier
air-mass filters into the region.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1119 AM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
Outflow boundary from decaying thunderstorm complex is currently
located near a TUL/FSM line. This boundary should stall over the
next few hours and will likely provide the focus for additional
thunderstorm development this afternoon as a cold front moves into
northeast Oklahoma. A few of these storms could produce damaging
downburst winds through the evening hours, but the more significant
threat will likely be locally heavy rainfall as broken thunderstorm
line pushes south overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   65  85  62  86 /  30   0   0  10
FSM   71  86  64  85 /  60  10  10   0
MLC   71  86  67  85 /  60  20  10  10
BVO   60  83  58  84 /  10   0   0   0
FYV   64  81  58  81 /  40   0   0   0
BYV   62  81  57  81 /  30   0   0   0
MKO   67  85  63  85 /  60   0  10  10
MIO   60  81  58  83 /  10   0   0   0
F10   68  85  64  85 /  60  10  10  10
HHW   73  87  68  86 /  60  50  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...12


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