Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 030451
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1151 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
FOR THE 6Z TAFS... VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL SITES
THROUGHOUT THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.



&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 746 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

DISCUSSION...

A WEAK NW FLOW PERSISTS ALOFT...WITH WEAK SURFACE RIDGING IN PLACE
OVER THE OZARKS. A COLD FRONT WAS DROPPING SOUTH OVER NEB/IA AND
DOWN INTO NORTHERN KS...BUT THIS BOUNDARY WILL STALL AND LIFT
NORTH BEFORE REACHING OUR AREA. THUS...WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING...ANOTHER TRANQUIL SUMMER EVENING IS IN STORE OVER THE
REGION. REMOVED ALL MENTION OF PRECIP DURING THE EVENING. UPDATED
PRODUCTS SENT.

LACY

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 558 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
FOR THE 0Z TAFS... VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL SITES
THROUGHOUT THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 303 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS HAVE PERSISTED ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
THIS AFTERNOON AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AFFECTS
THE REGION. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY MAKE INTO SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING. WILL GO WITH
SOME LOW POPS ACROSS A SMALL PORTION OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
FOR A FEW HOURS THIS EVENING.

THE HEAT WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ON MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 90S EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THE HIGHEST TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND THE RIVER VALLEY OF
WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS. WILL SEE A MINOR COOL DOWN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA WITH SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVER
AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE SKIRTS
THE AREA TO THE NORTH.

THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLOWLY SAGS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. THIS
BOUNDARY MAY TAKE A LITTLE OF THE EDGE OFF THE TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...06



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