000
FXUS64 KTSA 240249
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
849 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER TROUGH OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL STATES IS PULLING AWAY FROM
THE REGION THIS EVENING. ASIDE FROM SOME PASSING HIGH CLOUDS IN
THE NORTHERLY FLOW ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE TROUGH...A TRANQUIL AND
CHILLY NIGHT IS IN STORE WITH LIGHT WINDS. A WARMER DAY IS IN
STORE TO START THE WEEKEND AS MID LVL HEIGHTS RISE OVER THE
REGION.

LACY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 513 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 300 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015/

DISCUSSION...
OUR ANTICIPATED WARMING TREND IS ABOUT TO COMMENCE. AFTERNOON
HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WILL TOP OUT IN
THE HIGH 40S TO LOW 50S... MUCH THE SAME AS YESTERDAY. OVERNIGHT
LOWS TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE COMPARABLE TO LAST NIGHT AS WELL.
BEGINNING SATURDAY HOWEVER... BOTH MAXIMUM AND MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOTICEABLY WARMER... RUNNING 10 TO 15 DEGREES
ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES INTO THURSDAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME FRAME AS WELL. ANY PERIODS WITH
INCREASED WINDS WILL POSE AN INCREASED WILDFIRE DANGER...
ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOONS.

THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE WARMER AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL TRANSLATE EASTWARD DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA... LIKELY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON... WITH MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES THE RESULT. CURRENTLY
IT APPEARS THAT MOISTURE WILL BE LACKING WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE SO NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE FRONT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   28  59  40  62 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   29  56  35  60 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   26  57  37  64 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   23  60  36  61 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   24  55  35  55 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   26  54  38  54 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   22  56  37  61 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   28  56  38  56 /   0   0   0   0
F10   30  57  39  63 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   28  57  35  65 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....30