Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 150522
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1122 PM CST Tue Nov 14 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
MVFR cigs expected to gradually develop overnight...with areas
of showers moving into parts of northeast OK and northwest AR
late tonight ahead of a cold front. Some isolated thunder is not
out of the question across northwest AR...but confidence too low
to include in TAFs. May also see some areas of IFR cigs develop
Wednesday morning. Expect improving conditions as the cold front
moves through from late morning into the afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 842 PM CST Tue Nov 14 2017/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
Current forecast generally on track this evening with no significant
changes expected.  Update was sent earlier to lower temperatures a few
degrees in the Arkansas river valley and to add isolated thunder chances
across northeast Oklahoma/far northwest Arkansas after midnight. Low level
jet will continue to increase overnight ahead of front with the potential for
elevated showers and a few embedded thunderstorms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   57  64  40  63 /  30  60   0  10
FSM   50  64  45  63 /  20  70  20  20
MLC   59  65  48  64 /  10  50  20  20
BVO   55  63  35  61 /  60  40   0  10
FYV   52  61  39  62 /  50  70  10  10
BYV   51  62  38  60 /  60  70   0  10
MKO   55  64  42  63 /  20  70  10  10
MIO   55  62  37  63 /  60  60   0  10
F10   58  64  43  63 /  20  50  10  10
HHW   58  67  55  64 /   0  40  30  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$


AVIATION.....18



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