Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KTSA 281447
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
947 AM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MAKING A SLOW SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AND EAST
TODAY...LEADING TO ANOTHER NICE AFTERNOON. HIGH CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE AS AN UPPER WAVE AND ATTENDANT WEAK FRONT
MOVE SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE REGION. TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE A FEW
DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY GIVEN A RETURN TO SOUTH WINDS IN THE
WAKE OF THE HIGH. ANY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE
FRONT ACROSS THE NORTHERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA SHOULD HOLD
OFF UNTIL THIS EVENING. GOING FORECAST HAS THINGS IN HAND SO NO
UPDATE PLANNED FOR NOW.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 603 AM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
FOR THE 12Z TAFS... VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL SITES
THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THERE IS A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING THAT MAY
AFFECT NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA OR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SITES. HOWEVER...
THE PROBABILITY IS TOO LOW TO MENTION IN ANY PARTICULAR TAF.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 302 AM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SLOW WARMING TREND EXPECTED TODAY AS SOUTHWEST WINDS BEGIN TO
INCREASE. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH ISOLATED
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BE
STRONG THIS EVENING BUT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD WEAKEN AS
ATMOSPHERE BEGINS TO STABILIZE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME STATIONARY ON MONDAY NEAR THE
INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR. STRONG SURFACE HEATING/DESTABILIZATION
SHOULD ALLOW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO ONCE AGAIN
DEVELOP MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING ALONG BOUNDARY WITH A FEW PULSE
SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE...INCLUDING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL

NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK AND PERSIST INTO
NEXT WEEKEND. A STRONGER UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE
CENTRAL PLAINS BY LATE WEEK WITH INCREASING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS ANOTHER WEAK FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA.
DEEP GULF MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH A CONTINUED THREAT
FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS/LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...22
LONG TERM....07



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.