Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KTSA 171745
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1145 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
IFR/MVFR cloud deck continues to erode along the western edge as
the weak front and associated upper level wave move east.
Terminals may see a drop in cigs before skies clear for the
remainder of the afternoon and evening. Winds will become more
southerly overnight and will help bring low-level moisture back
into the region ahead of the next system. Clouds will begin to
build in from south to north after 06-08Z and could see a bit a
patchy fog develop in addition to IFR/MVFR cigs during the latter
half of the prevailing period as low-level moisture surges
northward.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1105 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
Weak frontal system and upper trough will continue to move
eastward late this morning afternoon. Rain showers and drizzle
have trended downward with main swath extending from the ArkLaTex
region to near the Missouri Bootheel. Low clouds will mix out
from west to east as drier air works in from the northwest. This
dry air combined with gusty winds will increase fire weather
concerns this afternoon despite the recent rainfall. Overall
forecast appears on track with slight adjustments in precipitation
trends and sky cover.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   60  37  64  58 /  10   0   0  40
FSM   55  35  62  54 /  20   0  10  50
MLC   58  37  62  57 /  10   0  10  50
BVO   61  31  65  56 /  10   0   0  30
FYV   52  33  59  55 /  20   0  10  50
BYV   51  32  60  53 /  20   0   0  40
MKO   58  36  63  55 /  10   0  10  50
MIO   57  33  64  56 /  10   0   0  40
F10   58  36  63  56 /  10   0  10  40
HHW   58  40  59  56 /  20   0  30  50

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
AVIATION.....11


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.