Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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706
FXUS64 KTSA 060953
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
353 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Compact and rather strong wave currently centered over north
central Texas with the associated forcing spreading across SE OK.
Limited moisture has resulted in only isolated areas of
measurable precip...and this is expected to remain the case
through mid morning before the wave shifts further east ending all
precip across the forecast area.

Seasonably mild temps will continue today and tomorrow ahead of
a cold front which will push through the area during the day on
Sunday. Gusty northwest winds will follow the front...which along
with the warm temperatures and low humidities...will raise
wildfire spread potential. Winds will increase further on Monday
as the gradient tightens across region...though temperatures will
be cooler.

The pattern will become highly amplified with northwesterly flow
aloft prevailing over the central U.S. with the temperature
anomalies remaining east and west of the area. Thus temperatures
will trend near to above normal for mid to late week...despite
several frontal passages which will simply act to maintain dry
conditions. The pattern does look to break down by next weekend
which may lead to the next chance of precip.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   53  33  60  29 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   55  33  60  32 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   54  33  60  31 /  10   0   0   0
BVO   53  28  61  28 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   52  28  55  28 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   52  33  56  29 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   54  31  59  28 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   54  33  58  28 /   0   0   0   0
F10   53  33  59  30 /  10   0   0   0
HHW   55  33  60  32 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....07



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