Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 151748
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1248 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
BROKEN TO OVERCAST SKIES WILL BECOME COMMON ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES INTO
THE REGION. A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE...WITH THE GREATER CHANCES OVER PARTS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. BEHIND THE FRONT..NORTHERLY WINDS AND MVFR TO IFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD SOUTHWARD TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
OVER MOST LOCATIONS INTO TUESDAY.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1018 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2014/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
COVERAGE OF THE SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS HAS BEGUN TO DECREASE
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE THIS MORNING
AND SHOULD CONTINUE THIS TREND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.
ADDITIONAL RAIN SHOWERS ALONG WITH POTENTIAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BECOME POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND CONTINUING INTO
TONIGHT AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SAGS SOUTHWARD INTO THE REGION.

AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
NEAR THE OKLAHOMA KANSAS BORDER TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE
REST OF THE REGION ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. THE GREATER
COVERAGE OF CLOUD COVER ALONG WITH THE MORNING RAINS COULD KEEP
TEMPS FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SOME WHAT IN
CHECK THIS AFTERNOON. THE WARMER LOCATIONS SHOULD BE ACROSS PARTS
OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA UNDERNEATH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. MORNING
UPDATE WILL BE TO ADJUST POP/WX/SKY GRIDS BASED ON LATEST TRENDS
AND TO TWEAK TEMP GRIDS DOWN A BIT OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   64  82  68  89 /  20  20  20  20
FSM   65  87  68  87 /  20  20  20  20
MLC   66  87  68  89 /  20  20  20  20
BVO   60  80  64  88 /  30  20  20  20
FYV   61  80  64  82 /  20  20  20  20
BYV   60  76  62  81 /  20  20  20  20
MKO   63  83  67  87 /  20  20  20  20
MIO   60  77  64  84 /  40  20  20  20
F10   64  84  68  89 /  20  20  20  20
HHW   67  88  68  89 /  20  20  20  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...20





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