Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KTSA 271653
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1053 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT SNOW HAD PUSHED INTO SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
THIS MORNING IN RESPONSE TO A SMALL MID LEVEL WAVE MOVING EASTWARD
ACROSS THE REGION. AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING WAVE...ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WERE
COMMON WITH TEMPS IN THE MID TEENS TO MID 20S FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

THE WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EASTWARD WITH CHANCES FOR SNOWFALL
INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. GREATER CHANCES STILL
LOOK TO BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHERE AROUND ONE INCH...WITH
POSSIBLY LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE RED
RIVER. AT THE ONSET OF PRECIP...THE SNOW WILL HAVE TO FIGHT
THROUGH DRIER AIR AT THE SURFACE WHICH COULD HELP TO LIMIT OVERALL
ACCUMULATIONS. FURTHER TO THE NORTH ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THE DRIER AIR SHOULD HELP TO KEEP SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS TO LESS THAN A HALF INCH...WITH MOST LOCATIONS BEING
LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION TO A COUPLE TENTHS. CURRENT WINTER
WEATHER HEADLINES CONTINUE TO LOOK REASONABLE AND WILL LET THE
ADVISORY RUN AS IS. MOST OF THE PRECIP LOOKS TO TAPER OFF THIS
EVENING...THOUGH AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW
LOOKS TO BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. CHANCES THEN RAMP UP AGAIN
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE AND COLD FRONT APPROACH
THE REGION.

THE COLD AIRMASS COMBINED WITH CLOUDY CONDITIONS SHOULD ALSO KEEP
TEMPS FROM WARMING ALL THAT MUCH WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW 20S TO
AROUND 30 DEGREES FROM NORTH TO SOUTH STILL POSSIBLE. MORNING
UPDATE WILL BE TO TWEAK HOURLY POP/TEMP GRIDS AND ALSO SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS BASED ON THE MENTIONED ABOVE.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   28  20  32  30 /  40  30  90  40
FSM   29  22  34  32 /  30  30  60  40
MLC   28  21  33  32 /  60  30  60  40
BVO   24  18  31  29 /  20  30  90  60
FYV   24  17  32  29 /  20  30  70  50
BYV   22  17  29  29 /  20  30  60  50
MKO   27  21  31  30 /  40  30  80  40
MIO   25  18  32  30 /  20  30  80  70
F10   27  21  32  31 /  50  30  80  40
HHW   30  25  36  35 /  60  50  50  40

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT SATURDAY FOR OKZ049-
     OKZ053.

AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16/20
LONG TERM....12





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.