000
FXUS64 KTSA 010550
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1150 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
INITIALLY IFR CEILINGS/VISIBILITY IN RAIN. RAIN ENDING AND
CEILING RISING AROUND TIME OF FRONTAL PASSAGE. BECOMING VERY
WINDY POST FRONT WITH WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS 20KTS WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30 KTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 923 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2015/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT. HALF INCH
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE COMMON WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS
IN A FEW AREAS. UPDATE SENT TO MODESTLY INCREASE QPF AMOUNTS AND
TWEAK TEMPS GIVEN LATEST TRENDS. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AT
THIS TIME.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   42  45  17  36 / 100  30   0   0
FSM   44  50  23  40 / 100  80   0   0
MLC   46  49  20  38 / 100  60   0   0
BVO   40  41  15  35 / 100  30  10   0
FYV   42  46  17  35 / 100  70  10   0
BYV   41  46  18  35 / 100  80  10   0
MKO   44  48  18  37 / 100  50   0   0
MIO   41  45  17  34 / 100  50  10   0
F10   44  46  18  37 / 100  40   0   0
HHW   48  55  23  41 / 100  70   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...21