Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 151031
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
431 AM CST Fri Dec 15 2017

...UPDATE...

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.

VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Ongoing clouds
across parts of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas should
diminish by mid morning, with clear skies prevailing thereafter.
Winds will shift from a west to northwest direction to more of a
south to southwest direction late afternoon and into early evening
at all terminals except FSM, which will see its typical light
easterly wind tonight.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 354 AM CST Fri Dec 15 2017/

DISCUSSION...
A warming trend will be taking place across the area over the next
couple days, especially Saturday when gusty southerly winds will
develop. The gusty winds will raise fire weather concerns, as
temperatures warm into the upper 50s to lower 60s and humidities
fall into the 25-35 percent range.

A fast moving upper level storm system will move northeast out of
northern Mexico into and across the southern Plains Saturday night
and early Sunday. Widespread light rain is expected to overspread
the area, but most amounts will remain under a quarter of an inch.

Another upper level system will move across the area Monday night.
Will keep the forecast dry for now, as moisture looks to be rather
limited following the passage of the initial system. Temperatures
through the early to middle part of next week will run well above
the seasonal normals.

A strong cold front is forecast to drop south across the area next
Thursday bringing much colder temperatures to close out next week.

Stayed close to guidance temperatures the next couple days.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$


AVIATION.....22



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