Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 190839
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
339 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH CONTINUES TO
SHIFT EAST OF THE REGION. MID/HIGH CLOUDS WILL REMAIN AS WEAK IMPULSE
OVER NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA TRAVERSES THE AREA. ALTHOUGH MOISTURE WILL
BE LIMITED...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO
WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING...IN ZONE OF MODEST
ISENTROPIC LIFT...AS MAIN UPPER TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES
REGION. WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SAG INTO FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS DURING THE DAY MONDAY WITH LOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES CONTINUING
INTO TUESDAY MORNING NEAR FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

STRONGER UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS/EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS. UPPER LOW SHIFTS SOUTHEAST OVER THE GULF COAST STATES
INTO THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING NEAR NORMAL AS WEAK
SURFACE HIGH SETTLES OVER THE REGION BEHIND DEPARTING SYSTEM.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   73  56  80  57 /  10  30  20  20
FSM   72  52  75  55 /   0  10  20  10
MLC   72  53  76  56 /  10  10  20  10
BVO   73  52  80  52 /  10  30  20  20
FYV   68  48  74  47 /   0  10  20  20
BYV   66  50  73  49 /   0  10  20  20
MKO   72  51  77  55 /  10  20  20  10
MIO   70  52  74  53 /  10  30  20  20
F10   72  53  78  56 /  10  20  20  10
HHW   73  53  77  56 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....12




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