Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 201958
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
258 PM CDT SUN JUL 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...

STUBBORN CLOUDS HANGING ON ACROSS WESTERN ARKANSAS AND PARTS OF
FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...BUT HAVE DISSIPATED ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF THE FORECAST AREA. EVEN THE LINGERING CLOUDS HAVE NOT HAD MUCH
AFFECT ON TODAYS WARM UP...WITH LOW TO MID 80S AREAWIDE. THE
WARM UP WILL BE IN FULL FORCE TOMORROW...AS THE UPPER RIDGE SLIDES
FARTHER EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS REGION. HIGHS
SHOULD BE A GOOD 5 TO 10 DEGREES WARMER THAN TODAY...WITH EVEN
HIGHER VALUES EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. IT IS POSSIBLE
THAT A SMALL PART OF THE AREA MAY FLIRT WITH TRIPLE DIGITS
TUESDAY...BUT TEMPERATURES THAT HIGH ARE MORE LIKELY TOWARD THE
WEEKEND.

A WEAK FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY...WHICH WILL
DROP HIGHS BACK TOWARD NORMAL VALUES FOR THURSDAY AND ALSO BRING
INCREASING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. AREAS TO THE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
44 WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING STORMS ALONG THE
FRONT...MAINLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO WEDNESDAY
EVENING...BEFORE THE FRONT CLEARS THE AREA OVERNIGHT.

THE POST FRONTAL COOLDOWN WILL BE BRIEF...AS ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES RETURN FOR FRIDAY. THE HIGHEST TEMPERATURES OF THE
PERIOD WILL LIKELY OCCUR SATURDAY IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT THAT WILL PASS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT DURING THE
EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEKEND...WITH NORTHWEST FLOW BECOMING
ESTABLISHED OVER THE REGION...AND UPPER RIDGING PUSHING INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. THE COLDEST POST FRONTAL AIR CURRENTLY
LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE FOLLOWING WORK
WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   71  95  75  97 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   67  92  71  93 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   68  93  72  94 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   67  95  70  98 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   61  88  67  90 /   0   0   0  10
BYV   63  88  67  91 /   0   0   0  10
MKO   67  94  71  95 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   67  93  71  96 /   0   0   0  10
F10   68  93  72  95 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   67  93  72  93 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....22




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