Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 252331
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
631 PM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Cold front has pushed into NW AR this evening...with a line of
post frontal showers across northeast OK. The precipitation will
end at KTUL/KRVS within a couple hours...and for the rest of the
TAF sites...will carry TEMPO groups for showers this evening. Some
sites in NE OK are briefly reporting IFR ceilings but that should
not last. Lightning has been isolated and will not mention at any
of the terminals.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 230 PM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016/

DISCUSSION...
The much anticipated cold front is making its way through the
forecasts area this afternoon and is currently positioned near
Interstate 44. A broken band of light to moderate showers extends
roughly along the front, with isolated to scattered thunderstorms
ahead of the boundary. The overall area of showers and
thunderstorms will continue to make southeastward progress
overnight, with the front exiting southeast Oklahoma by midnight.

A cooler and drier airmass will settle over Oklahoma and Arkansas
behind the front, as evidenced by dew points in the 30s and 40s in
Kansas and Nebraska at present. Temperatures both Monday and
Tuesday are likely to be a few degrees below normal in most
locations. The airmass will moderate some by Wednesday, but a
backdoor cold front Wednesday night should serve to keep
conditions below normal to close out the work week. All in all, it
should be a quiet weather week after the current system clears the
region.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   56  76  48  79 /  20   0   0   0
FSM   65  76  50  80 /  40  10   0   0
MLC   63  76  48  79 /  30  10   0   0
BVO   52  75  46  78 /  10   0   0   0
FYV   57  72  44  75 /  30  10   0   0
BYV   58  72  46  75 /  40  10   0   0
MKO   57  75  48  78 /  30  10   0   0
MIO   54  72  47  76 /  20   0   0   0
F10   58  75  49  78 /  30  10   0   0
HHW   65  77  55  81 /  40  20   0   0

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...06



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