Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 180224
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
924 PM CDT Sun Sep 17 2017

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
Convection has waned over the past few hours however has yet to
fully dissipate with periodic pulses of stronger storms still be
realized. This is likely due in part to the subtropical moisture
plume overhead and the resultant axis of deeper moisture.
Furthermore guidance continues to struggle with the overall
convective evolution. Updated forecast will adjust for current
observed trends and then expand precip chances a bit higher for
the overnight hours assuming some type of disturbance eminates
from the current High Plains convection and interacts with the
aforementioned moisture plume.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   69  90  71  92 /  40  30  20  20
FSM   70  91  70  92 /  40  10  10  20
MLC   69  91  72  92 /  60   0  10 LONG TERM....99 10
BVO   66  87  68  92 /  50  40  20  20
FYV   66  87  67  87 /  30  10  10  20
BYV   66  87  68  88 /  30  20  20  20
MKO   67  89  70  91 /  60  20  10  20
MIO   67  85  67  90 /  50  30  20  20
F10   68  90  71  92 /  60  20  10  10
HHW   68  91  71  91 /  30   0   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07



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