Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 280802
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
302 AM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SLOW WARMING TREND EXPECTED TODAY AS SOUTHWEST WINDS BEGIN TO
INCREASE. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH ISOLATED
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BE
STRONG THIS EVENING BUT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD WEAKEN AS
ATMOSPHERE BEGINS TO STABILIZE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME STATIONARY ON MONDAY NEAR THE
INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR. STRONG SURFACE HEATING/DESTABILIZATION
SHOULD ALLOW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO ONCE AGAIN
DEVELOP MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING ALONG BOUNDARY WITH A FEW PULSE
SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE...INCLUDING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL

NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK AND PERSIST INTO
NEXT WEEKEND. A STRONGER UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE
CENTRAL PLAINS BY LATE WEEK WITH INCREASING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS ANOTHER WEAK FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA.
DEEP GULF MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH A CONTINUED THREAT
FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS/LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   89  69  91  71 /   0  20  10  10
FSM   89  67  92  72 /   0  10  20  20
MLC   89  68  92  71 /   0  10  30  20
BVO   89  65  91  66 /  10  20  10   0
FYV   85  63  87  66 /   0  20  10  10
BYV   84  65  87  68 /   0  20  10  10
MKO   87  66  90  70 /   0  20  20  10
MIO   87  65  90  67 /  10  20  10   0
F10   87  67  91  71 /   0  10  30  20
HHW   89  68  90  72 /   0   0  20  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...06
LONG TERM....12



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