Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 142321
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
621 PM CDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR conditions will prevail at all sites through the TAF period.
Widely scattered to scattered storms will likely remain ongoing
through the period as well...with the focus shifting south later
in the TAF period. Overall coverage will remain too low for a
mention at this time across the NE OK and NW AR sites...but will
include a VCTS for several hours at KMLC and KFSM beginning at
12z and 15z respectively.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 250 PM CDT Fri Jul 14 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Residual cloud cover from the morning thunderstorm complex has
helped to keep temperatures below normal across a good chunk of
northeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas this afternoon. An outflow
boundary produced by the complex stretches across southeast
Oklahoma and into west central and southwest Arkansas. The weak
and somewhat diffuse synoptic cool front remains north of the
Oklahoma and Arkansas borders this afternoon but will move toward
the south and west overnight and into tomorrow. Additional
thunderstorms should develop along the front late tonight and
early tomorrow morning, with locally heavy rain existing with the
stronger, slow moving storms. The main thunderstorm axis will
shift southward into tomorrow night and Sunday, as the front sags
through the area. While widely scattered afternoon thunderstorms
will be possible into early next week, especially in the higher
terrain areas, the overall coverage should be low enough after
Sunday to keep below mentionable levels for now.

Behind the cool front, temperatures will be close to normal
tomorrow and maybe a degree or two warmer for Sunday. Ridging will
build back into the region next week, with above normal
temperatures returning and likely peaking toward the mid to latter
part of the work week.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...23



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