Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
FXUS64 KTSA 101035
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
535 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR conditions should prevail through the period, although some
tempo IFR/MVFR vsbys may affect all except TUL/RVS for the first
couple of hours. Thick high clouds have largely kept the fog
coverage and intensity below previous thoughts overnight. The high
clouds should diminish during the afternoon/evening hours.
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 301 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015/
Patchy fog has develop across portions of Eastern Oklahoma and
Northwest Arkansas this morning. Visibilities will improve by mid
morning with the fog lifting. Otherwise, pleasant fall weather
anticipated this afternoon with mild/dry conditions.
Surface high pressure will begin to shift east of the region
tonight. Unseasonably warm weather expected on Sunday as gusty
south/southwest winds develop during the afternoon. High
temperatures will likely approach 90 degrees across portions of
Northeast Oklahoma, primarily west of Highway 75. The warm/dry and
breezy conditions will also create an increased fire weather
threat across aforementioned area.
Next cold front will move into Northeast Oklahoma Monday morning
with boundary pushing into the Arklatx region Monday afternoon.
Although cooler conditions expected behind the front...strong/gusty
north winds and a very dry air-mass will likely create an elevated
fire danger threat across much of Eastern Oklahoma.
Warm/dry conditions will persist through at least the middle part
of next week. Some model differences concerning timing of cold front
late in the week. Trended towards the faster ECMWF solution
compared to GFS, pushing front through on Friday as upper trough
swings through the Great Lakes region.