Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
FXUS63 KEAX 161732
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1232 PM CDT Thu Mar 16 2017
Issued at 306 AM CDT THU MAR 16 2017
Spring wakes up from its week-long hibernation today with
increasing southerly flow bringing temperatures up into the lower
60s for most areas. Shallow low-level lift associated with this
warm air advection could produce a few light showers/drizzle
across parts of the area this evening and overnight, particularly
across central Missouri where low-level moisture will be more
plentiful. This precipitation will clear out Friday morning as a
very weak front drops in from the north, although deeper mixing
and clearing skies behind the front will actually allow
temperatures to rise even more than today with highs in the mid to
upper 60s area-wide.
After a brief and minor cooldown on Saturday, a deep upper ridge
will build into the central U.S. on Sunday and send temperatures
as high as the lower to middle 70s. Another weak front will slide
through the area Sunday night but again with limited moisture to
work with. Could see a line of showers and a few storms along this
front especially if enough moisture can advect into the area. Much
like on Friday, the airmass behind Sunday`s front will not be
particularly cool with highs on Monday still in the upper 60s.
Zonal upper flow will develop Tuesday and Wednesday, which will
bring temperatures back down closer to seasonal averages with just
slight chances for light precip with any quick-moving impulses
that may zip through the area.
.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 1232 PM CDT THU MAR 16 2017
VFR conds are expected thru this evening. However, tonight, the
stratus deck across ern OK today is expected to spread northward
reaching the terminals btn 03Z-05Z. MVFR cigs will cont at the TAF
sites until a cold front moves thru the terminals btn 11Z-13Z.
This frontal passage will veer winds from the SSW to the NW while
remaining btn 10-15kts. drizzle will also be a possibility tonight
however better chances look to remain south of the terminals.