Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 131734

National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1134 AM CST Mon Feb 13 2017

Issued at 311 AM CST MON FEB 13 2017

A quiet and mild forecast is on tap for the next seven days. The
best chance for precipitation will come today along and south of the
Missouri River however that potential looks low. Mid-level clouds are
spreading northeastward into the area with associated light radar
returns. However, very dry air below 10kft should keep conditions
dry today although models soundings do reflect some top down
saturation. Even if we do manage to produce some precipitation
amounts would be minimal on the order of a hundredth or two.
Temperatures should warm nicely today with downslope westerly flow
over the area. Expect highs in the low to mid 50s. Tonight a shortwave
ejecting out ahead of a trough could bring some light precipitation
to the southern CWA however, better chances will remain south of
the area. Beyond tonight the remainder of the forecast is a
temperatures forecast. Tuesday will again be warm with continued
westerly flow and highs in the low to mid 50s. Wednesday looks
like the "coldest" day of the week as a upper level trough over
the Great Lakes digs south and westerly flow becomes cooler
northwesterly flow aloft. Expect highs in the mid 40s to near 50
which is still about 5 degrees above normal for the middle of
February. Temperatures quickly warm up as we move into the later
part of the work week as upper level ridging begins to build into
the region and WAA gets underway on Thursday. Highs Thursday will
be in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Friday the upper level ridge axis
moves directly over the region with strong southwesterly flow at
the surface. Expect highs in the mid to upper 60s. Highs will
remain in the 60s through the weekend as general upper level
ridging remains over the region.


.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1134 AM CST MON FEB 13 2017

VFR conditions will prevail at the Kansas-Missouri state line
terminals as mid and high level clouds move through. Otherwise,
winds will stay from the southwest through the day, going light
and variable overnight before returning to the northwest Tuesday




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