


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
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161 FXUS63 KICT 301654 AFDICT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 1154 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Numerous showers and storms will linger over mainly southern/southeast Kansas during the morning hours with heavy rainfall as the primary risk - Dry weather with less humidity expected on Tuesday and Wednesday - Next chance of storms will be for Friday and Saturday, severe weather is possible && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 223 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 Numerous showers and storms will continue to develop through the early morning hours with low level jet/moisture transport focused over central/south central Kansas. Meanwhile another complex of storms over northern Kansas is being driven by an upper level wave pivoting east across the Dakotas/Nebraska. This activity will collide into on-going activity over the area. There is some potential for severe storms in central Kansas early this morning but things should transition to mainly a heavy rain/flooding threat given very high precipitable water airmass that is being overturned by numerous slow moving storms. The showers/storms will gradually shift south of the area by late this morning, as the upper level trough pivots east across the central plains today. Surface high pressure will then build southward into Kansas and bring slightly cooler/drier air(less humidity) to the region for Tuesday and Wednesday. The dry weather pattern is expected to continue through Thursday along with temperatures gradually warming back into the 90s. Heading into Friday models remain consistent showing a upper level wave ejecting from the Rockies and moving eastward across the central plains. This will bring the next chance of storms to Kansas and some of them could become strong/severe Friday afternoon/night. The chances of storms will continue for Saturday as models show the frontal boundary still lingering over Kansas. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1151 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 Conditions will continue to improve as the showers and storms from this morning continue to dissipate. VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours at all sites along with light winds from the north gradually shifting to the east and eventually to the south. && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...CDJ AVIATION...SGS