Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana

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FXUS63 KIWX 191716

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
116 PM EDT Wed Oct 19 2016

Issued at 116 PM EDT Wed Oct 19 2016

Cloud cover will increase overnight in front of the next
widespread precipitation event that will persist from Wednesday
night into Thursday. Heaviest amounts of rain will fall in eastern
Indiana and western Ohio. Cooler air will flow into the area
Thursday night with high temperatures Friday afternoon only
reaching the lower 50s. Cool and dry conditions continue through
the weekend.


.SHORT TERM...(Today through Thursday night)
Issued at 517 AM EDT Wed Oct 19 2016

The front had moved south to near the Ohio River, but will begin to
move back north later today and tonight as an upper level trof
approaches the area. A wave was developing over the Ozarks early
this morning and will move northeast to near the Ohio River
Thursday. Overall, the ECMWF has been consistent with the
deformation zone and subsequent rainfall associated with this
system. Rain will develop and spread north across most of the
forecast area. The heaviest rainfall should fall from Portland to
Lima where rainfall amounts should exceed 1 inch by early Friday.


.LONG TERM...(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 517 AM EDT Wed Oct 19 2016

Much cooler weather can be expected Friday through Sunday as an
upper level trof deepens east of the area. Temperatures will be a
little below normal into early next week. Little if any rain is
expected through this period.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday Afternoon)
Issued at 1259 PM EDT Wed Oct 19 2016

VFR conditions will remain for the rest of the afternoon. Clouds
will begin to increase as an upper level disturbance will move
northeast from Missouri and the associated precipitation will lead
to a decrease in ceilings. VFR for NW Indiana due to the heaviest
rain remaining south and east. In eastern portions of Indiana
heavier rain will lower ceilings to MVFR conditions with a IFR
conditions forecasted on Thursday morning.




SHORT TERM...Skipper
LONG TERM...Skipper

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