Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FXUS63 KJKL 162042

National Weather Service Jackson KY
342 PM EST Fri Feb 16 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 342 PM EST FRI FEB 16 2018

Cold front is now exiting to our south with the upper level
support for the rain earlier today now exiting as well. This has
allowed showers to weaken and dissipate from the north. Rain
should be done for most areas over the next 1 to 2 hours with just
a few showers lingering in southeast Kentucky. Colder air is
advecting into the region with temperatures falling through the
40s. While models are generally supportive of some partial
clearing, current satellite trends seem to be less supportive.
Cloud cover is still firmly entrenched across the area and it may
be hard to erode as low level winds veer around to the northeast
tonight. Thus, going to go more robust with the sky cover and that
should help keep lows in the low to mid 30s tonight.

A shortwave trough will bring another round of rain back into
eastern Kentucky after dawn on Saturday. With the colder air
already in place, we could see a brief shot of light snow or sleet
early, before everything transitions to rain. Rainfall could be
locally heavy in the southeast with up to or just over an inch
possible. With the rain and saturated ground, flood watch will
continue for southeast Kentucky. The rain will come to an end by 8
pm. Some drizzle could linger well into Saturday night, but the
more substantial precipitation will be over.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 342 PM EST FRI FEB 16 2018

Long term discussion will follow shortly.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)

Rain will gradually taper off into this afternoon, but MVFR cigs
will continue to impact the area through tonight. Another round of
rain will spread into the area on Saturday with cigs possibly
lowering down to IFR for a period of time Saturday into Saturday
night. Northwest winds will gradually diminish into this evening
with southerly winds developing on Saturday with the arrival of
the rain.


Flood Watch from Saturday morning through Saturday evening for



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