Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 051732
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SPRINGFIELD MO
1132 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 0231 AM CST FRI FEB 05 2016

High clouds are on the increase this morning from west to east as
the next upper level wave is moving across the High Plains region.
This disturbance will move southeastward today and tonight. We
will only see mid and high level cloudiness from this moisture
starved system. Will not rule out a few sprinkles or flurries
possible tonight across the far southwest corner of the area
including portions of southeast Kansas. There should not be any
impacts if this occurs.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 0231 AM CST FRI FEB 05 2016

The weekend is not look too bad with mostly sunny to partly cloudy
skies and high temperatures slightly above average. Dry weather is
expected through Sunday evening. Will need to watch Sunday
afternoon for an elevated fire danger across southeast Kansas and
portions of western Missouri. Winds will become breezy and gusty
with a relatively dry airmass in place.

A deep trough will build across the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes
region by Monday and Tuesday. A strong cold front will move
through late Sunday night into Monday morning. Clouds and a few
sprinkles or flurries may accompany the front. The main core of
the cold airmass will be just to our east across the Ohio River
Valley region. Models indicate a cold and windy day across the
Missouri Ozarks on Monday with scattered snow flurries or very
light snow showers. At this time...not expecting any accumulations
or impacts but it will be a reminder that Winter is still around.
Wind chills may drop down into the teens and single digits early
next week.

The deep trough lifts out of the region and somewhat flatten flow
returns for middle of next week. Temperatures will rebound back to
more seasonable levels with dry weather. There is no significant
or measurable precip in the forecast over the next 7 days for the
local area.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday Afternoon)
Issued at 1128 AM CST FRI FEB 05 2016

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: VFR conditions are expected. A weak
disturbance will produce abundant mid/upper level clouds at times.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...DSA


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