Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KSGF 260450
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1150 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2014

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Sunday)
Issued at 210 PM CDT THU SEP 25 2014

An upper level low is currently located over eastern Iowa,
southwestern Wisconsin, and northwestern Illinois this afternoon.
The associated trough with the low is currently over the region
and brought a few light showers to portions of central Missouri
early today. This activity has ended as the lift has weakened
across the area and a drier air mass is spread to the southeast
into the region. Therefore, no more sprinkles or light showers are
expected the rest of the afternoon into tonight.

An upper level ridge will build over the central U.S. Friday into
the weekend. The upper level low will get caught under the ridge
and will shift back to the west and linger across northern
Missouri and Iowa Friday and Saturday before beginning to shear and
open up as it gets kicked off to the southeast on Sunday.

A dry air mass is spreading into the region this afternoon and
will remain into the weekend. The area will also be capped for the
most part this weekend and the the better lift with the upper
level low will be under the low itself which is expected to remain
north of the area. Therefore, not expecting any rainfall this
weekend with even with the upper level the low to the north of the
area.

Highs will warm to around the 80 degree mark each afternoon from
Friday through this weekend.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 210 PM CDT THU SEP 25 2014

The upper level trough will push pushing to the southeast on
Sunday night and will push off to the east early next week as an upper
level ridge remains over the region into early next week. Highs in
the lower to middle 80s will continue into the first half of next
week.

An upper level trough will then push across the central Plains and
across the region during the middle to end of next week. Medium
models differ on the exact timing and strength to this system that
need to be better determined to hammer out the exact details. Gulf
moisture will be pulled into the region ahead of the system and
as the system tracks through the region showers and thunderstorms
will be possible.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday Night)
Issued at 1148 PM CDT THU SEP 25 2014

Pilots can expect a continuation of VFR conditions tonight and
Friday. Surface high pressure centered to our east will remain the
dominant weather feature providing a light southeast wind.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Wise
LONG TERM...Wise
AVIATION...Foster






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.