Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 140454
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1154 PM CDT Wed Sep 13 2017

...Updated Aviation Section...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 315 PM CDT Wed Sep 13 2017

Above normal temperatures continue with an upper level ridge over
the Rockies and 850mb temperatures soaring above 25 degrees
Celsius. Winds will continue to be from a southerly direction due
to a trough of low pressure located across eastern Colorado. No
precipitation is expected during the short term period with mostly
clear skies. Lows tonight look to dip into the low to mid 60s with
highs tomorrow in the low to mid 90s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 315 PM CDT Wed Sep 13 2017

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible Thursday night across far
western and west central Kansas. However, most places look to
remain dry. Otherwise just expect a slight increase in cloudiness.
Breezy conditions are expected Friday afternoon with a dryline
sliding across the area. This will cause elevated fire weather
conditions across far western Kansas. A chance of thunderstorms
will then be possible Saturday afternoon into Sunday morning as a
cold front moves through the area. Isolated thunderstorms will be
possible through the remainder of the forecast period, but most
places will remain dry. As for temperatures, highs will soar into
the mid to upper 90s Friday, low 80s to low 90s Saturday as the
cold front moves through the area, then 80s on Sunday. Highs then
rebound to around 90s degrees as we head into the first part of
next week. Lows look to dip into the mid to upper 60 Thursday and
Friday night, then mid 50s to mid 60s for the remainder of the
long term forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1153 PM CDT Wed Sep 13 2017

Another quiet aviation weather regime expected through tomorrow
with VFR conditions dominating. Initially for the remainder of
tonight, some weak thunderstorms near the Colorado border will
fade well before impacting the GCK or LBL terminals. However, a
modest 35 to 40 kt southwesterly low level jet may bring some
wind shear at 1-kft through sunrise for all terminals. Otherwise,
gusty south to southwest winds will develop during the afternoon
with some potential for low level shear yet again by midnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  62  96  67  95 /   0  10  10  10
GCK  62  97  65  94 /  10  10  10  10
EHA  61  94  62  91 /   0  10  10  10
LBL  61  96  66  94 /   0  10  10  10
HYS  65  97  69  94 /  10  10  10  10
P28  61  96  69  93 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...AJohnson



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