Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
570
FXUS63 KDDC 050703
AFDDDC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
103 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

...UPDATE TO LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

Even though short range models indicate an upper level shortwave
digging southeast across the Western High Plains today, little if
any precip is expected across southwest and central Kansas due to
the lack of low/mid level moisture across the region. There is
just enough moisture associated with the system in the upper
levels though to support increased cloud cover and possibly a few
flurries toward this afternoon. Otherwise, conditions will remain
fairly dry through Friday night. Similar high temperatures to
yesterday can be expected today with little change to the general
air mass across the region. Look for highs only up into the 30s(F)
again across west central Kansas to near the I-70 corridor in
central Kansas due to the lingering snowpack. Otherwise, highs
will reach up into the 40s(F) elsewhere with near 50F possible in
south central Kansas.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday THROUGH Thursday)
ISSUED AT 100 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

Dry conditions will continue through the weekend even as another
upper level shortwave crests upper level ridging out west and digs
southeast into the Northern Plains. The system will have very
little moisture to work with and therefore lead to persistent dry
conditions across western Kansas through the middle part of next
week, especially as the upper level ridging slowly approaches from
the west. Well above normal temperatures can be expected Saturday
as a west to southwesterly downslope flow sets up across the
Western High Plains. This will warm the lower levels pushing H85
temperatures above 5C across much of southwest Kansas. Look for
highs up into the 40s(F) across west central and central Kansas
Saturday afternoon with the 50s(F) across southwest and south
central Kansas. Cooler temperatures are likely Sunday as a cold
front pushes through western Kansas allowing colder air to filter
southward into the area. Highs will be more limited to the 40s(F)
Sunday afternoon. A general warming trend is then projected
through the middle part of next week as a low level westerly
downslope flow sets up once again across the high plains.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z Friday NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1100 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016

VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites through Friday
afternoon. Winds will remain light and variable through late
Friday morning as a broad surface high slowly edges eastward
across the Western High Plains. An extremely weak frontal boundary
will push through western Kansas early Friday afternoon turning
winds northwesterly 5 to 15kt.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  42  20  53  28 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  38  15  46  25 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  43  20  57  28 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  45  17  57  24 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  35  17  39  28 /   0   0   0   0
P28  48  24  54  30 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JJohnson
LONG TERM...JJohnson
AVIATION...JJohnson



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.