Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KOUN 232125
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
325 PM CST TUE DEC 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
AN AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN HAS A LARGE TROUGH OVER THE
EASTERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. AS WRAPAROUND CLOUDS AND
PRECIPITATION MOVE INTO OKLAHOMA/NORTH TEXAS THIS EVENING...CLOUD
COVER WILL OBVIOUSLY INCREASE. RAIN/SNOW CHANCES WILL BE
LOW...SINCE THERE IS LITTLE LIFT WITH THIS SYSTEM.
SIMILARLY...RAINFALL/SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT.

WEDNESDAY WILL BE DRY AND COOL...BUT NOT QUITE AS WINDY
OVERALL...AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SHIFTS EAST. WINDS WILL DROP
OFF TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE TOMORROW NIGHT...BEFORE RAMPING UP AGAIN
FROM THE SOUTHWEST TOWARD SUNRISE.

CHRISTMAS DAY...THURSDAY...WILL BE VERY WINDY...WARM...AND DRY.
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE VERY HIGH ACROSS NEARLY OUR ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA. IT IS A LITTLE TOO EARLY FOR AN ADVISORY FOR
THURSDAY...BUT A WIND ADVISORY WILL ALMOST CERTAINLY BE ISSUED FOR
THAT DAY. DEPENDING ON FUTURE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST...A RED
FLAG WARNING WILL ALSO BE A POSSIBILITY. AT THIS
POINT...CONDITIONS OTHER THAN WIND ARE MARGINAL FOR A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH...EVEN IN THE WARMEST AND DRIEST LOCATIONS ALONG OUR
SOUTHWEST BORDER.

A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A COOLER PERIOD AFTER CHRISTMAS...ALONG
WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FOR RAIN/SNOW.

AN EVEN COLDER AIRMASS IS SHOWN ON MODELS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. THE ECMWF HAS A COLD FORECAST...WHILE THE GFS OPTS FOR VERY
COLD. THIS IS TECHNICALLY BEYOND THE RANGE OF OUR FORECAST AT THIS
TIME.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  32  43  30  59 /  20  10   0   0
HOBART OK         31  46  29  60 /  10   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  34  47  31  66 /  10   0   0   0
GAGE OK           26  44  26  63 /  20   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     33  42  29  58 /  30  10   0   0
DURANT OK         35  46  31  58 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

25/23


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.