Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 261126
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
626 AM CDT TUE AUG 26 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY. AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO
MAY AFFECT KGAG OR KWWR THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING...BUT
CONFIDENCE REMAINS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THIS TAF PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 336 AM CDT TUE AUG 26 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HOT CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE
GENERAL PATTERN REMAINS MOSTLY UNCHANGED. THIS MEANS AT LEAST
ANOTHER DAY OR SO OF HEAT INDICES FROM 98 TO 105 DEGREES. WE KNOW
IT SOUNDS LIKE A BROKEN RECORD...BUT WE CANNOT STRESS ENOUGH THE
IMPORTANCE OF FOLLOWING HEAT SAFETY GUIDELINES. WILL MAINTAIN
SLIGHT CHANCE OR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL ACROSS MAINLY
NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AS INTENSE SFC
HEATING MAY ALLOW FOR SOME CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.

SO THE GOOD NEWS IS...FROM THURSDAY INTO THE COMING WEEKEND...IT
WILL BE NOTICEABLY COOLER...WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID 80S
TO LOW 90S. THIS COOLER AIRMASS WILL COME IN THE WAKE OF A WEAK
COLD FRONT SET TO ENTER WESTERN OKLAHOMA THURSDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT
WILL BE A SLOW MOVER...AND RAIN CHANCES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN OVER
WESTERN OKLAHOMA THURSDAY. AS A SLOW MOVING UPPER TROUGH MOVES
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS...THE FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST FRIDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY...LEADING TO SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
STORMS OVER MUCH OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS. IT APPEARS FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY HOLD THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL...AND WITH MEDIUM RANGE MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT...OPTED TO NUDGE POPS UPWARD THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD.
WHILE SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE...THIS
DOES NOT LOOK LIKE A WIDESPREAD PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN EVENT...AND
EXPECT FLOOD/FLASH FLOOD ISSUES WILL BE MINIMAL.

THE FRONT AND UPPER LOW WILL MOVE EAST SUNDAY...BRINGING RAIN
CHANCES TO AN END. WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS LOOK TO RETURN AS
WE HEAD INTO EARLY SEPTEMBER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  99  73  96  73 /   0   0   0  10
HOBART OK        101  74  99  75 /   0   0  10  20
WICHITA FALLS TX 102  75  99  75 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           99  72  95  73 /  20  20  40  40
PONCA CITY OK    100  74  97  73 /   0   0   0  10
DURANT OK        100  75  95  73 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

MBS/AUSTIN


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