Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 251213
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
713 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015


.AVIATION...
SCATTERED TO BROKEN CLOUDS MAINLY ABOVE 3K FEET SHOULD GRADUALLY
ERODE THIS MORNING. CLOUDS MAY REFORM OVERNIGHT...WITH EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2015/

DISCUSSION...
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF CLOUDS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
PART OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...SKIES ARE CLEAR EARLY THIS
MORNING.  FORCING FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
WEAK TODAY...BUT PERHAPS ENOUGH FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS OR STORMS IN
FAR SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE
RATHER HIGH ELEVATED INSTABILITY ACROSS THE RED RIVER 1500-2500
J/KG ...SO A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN A WEAKLY
FORCED ENVIRONMENT.

A MID-LEVEL/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE...CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL ROCKIES...WILL BUILD SLIGHTLY EAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THIS WILL PROVIDE DRY CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY THROUGH MUCH OF
THURSDAY. RAIN AND STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE. THIS SYSTEM WILL PUSH A WEAK FRONT INTO
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT THURSDAY/EARLY FRIDAY.

INSTABILITY AND SHEAR WITH THIS FRONT WILL BE RATHER WEAK...SO
THE MAIN HAZARDS WITH STORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAINFALL
AND GUSTY WINDS. OVER THE WEEKEND...HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED..BUT A WEAK MID-LEVEL WAVE MAY BE ENOUGH FOR ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND STORMS ON SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  87  66  91  68 /   0  10   0   0
HOBART OK         91  69  95  72 /  10  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  92  70  95  71 /  20  10   0   0
GAGE OK           90  67  94  72 /  10  10   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     85  62  90  67 /   0  10   0  10
DURANT OK         90  67  93  67 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$


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