Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 201750
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1250 PM CDT Mon Mar 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The 18Z aviation discussion follows....

&&

.AVIATION...
A weak front will drift very slowly south from northwest Oklahoma
this afternoon...to extend from near KOKC-KLAW-KLTS early Tuesday
morning. This will cause variable wind directions in the vicinity
of the front until it starts a more assertive southward movement
after sunrise on Tuesday. Some low (MVFR, probably) ceilings are
likely north of the front, but the exact ceiling height is
difficult to determine at this point.

CmS
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued Issued by National Weather Service Tulsa OK/

UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
Cold front has pushed into northwest OK and will move slowly
southward to near a KBVO - KSWO - KCSM line by late afternoon.
Prefrontal dewpoints have mixed out noticably across far western
OK with breezy southwest winds in place south of the front. These
conditions along with expected unseasonable warmth will raise
fire weather concerns for much of the forecast area. The strongest
winds by afternoon are expected to focus from southwest to south
central OK and slightly offset from the lowest humidity zone which
will be located nearer the frontal boundary. Should these areas
overlap more than expected than a narrow corridor of critical fire
weather conditions could develop. Updated forecast adjusted
dewpoints nearer short term guidance which has handled current
conditions reasonably well. This results in lower humidity across
values far western OK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  92  60  83  48 /   0   0   0  10
Hobart OK         93  59  85  46 /   0   0   0  10
Wichita Falls TX  94  61  90  53 /   0   0   0  10
Gage OK           91  48  72  39 /   0   0  10  10
Ponca City OK     90  55  72  43 /   0   0  10  10
Durant OK         88  59  86  56 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

30/23/23



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