000
FXUS63 KOAX 020448
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1148 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 326 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES OVER THE REGION WITH A FEW MINOR
DISTURBANCES DRIFTING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE FLOW. A WEAK AREA OF SFC
LOW PRESSURE REMAINS OVER NORTHEAST KANSAS WITH WEAK EASTERLY SFC
FLOW OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. DIURNALLY DRIVEN SCATTERED CU
FIELD SHOULD BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET. NEXT CHANCE AT
SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH A FEW POSSIBLE RUMBLES OF THUNDER WILL BE
LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. A SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY OVER
WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA MAY TRIGGER SCATTERED ACTIVITY OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND CONTINUE SOUTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE MORNING
HOURS. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO MOVE INTO A DRY ENVIRONMENT AND
REALLY STRUGGLE TO CONTINUE SOUTH OF THE PLATTE RIVER.

WE WILL MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST FROM SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY IN
CONTINUED NORTHWEST FLOW WITH RIDGE SHIFTING SLIGHTLY EAST. A
WEAK BOUNDARY COULD BRING A FEW ISOLATED CHANCES AT TSTMS AND
WARMER TEMPS...BUT MOISTURE STILL LOOKS MEAGER AND WILL LEAVE OUT
AT THIS POINT.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 326 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO FLATTEN OVER THE CNTRL US BY MID WEEK
ALLOWING A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN TO OUR NORTH. THIS WILL POSSIBLY
SHIFT SOUTH INTO OUR FORECAST AREA LATER IN THE PERIOD TUESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH WE DO NOT ANTICIPATE CONTINUOUS
RAIN...ANY TIME PERIOD REALLY CANNOT BE RULED OUT AT THIS POINT.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1140 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

MAINLY VFR CONDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOME MVFR VISBY
STILL APPEARS POSSIBLE AT ALL 3 TAF SITES TONIGHT...BUT WILL
QUICKLY DISSIPATE EARLY SAT MRNG. OTHERWISE SOME SHRA OVER NRN NEB
WILL TRY TO MOVE TOWARD THE OFK TAF SITE OVERNIGHT BUT CONFIDENCE
IN ANY PRECIP MAKING IT IS TO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE TAF ATTM. BUT
AN INCREASE IN MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS IS EXPECTED FOR ALL SITES
FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD AS A STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY OVR
SD MOBS SEWD.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KERN
LONG TERM...KERN
AVIATION...