Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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180
FXUS63 KOAX 041132
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
532 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 230 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016

NO MAJOR ACTIVE WEATHER TO BE CONCERNED WITH THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...JUST SMALL CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW ON FRIDAY  AND SATURDAY NIGHT
FOR AREAS NORTH OF I-80 POPS IN RELATION TO SERIES OF PAC NW
SHORTWAVE TROF CROSSING THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS. SLIGHT POPS SEEMS TO
BE THE BEST FIT GIVEN SPARSE MOISTURE AS WELL WE RELATIVELY WEAK
UPGLIDE.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 230 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016

GOOD CONSENSUS AMONGST THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS LARGE SCALE FLOW
BECOME STAGNANT WITH SIGNIFICANT AMPLIFICATION WITH A DEEP TROF
OVER THE ERN CONUS AND SHARP RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST.
FORTUNATELY BULK OF THE ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL FILTER IN THE LOWER 48
WELL EAST OF THE CWA. APPEARS THAT TUESDAY WILL BE THE ONLY DAY AT
RISK FOR SEEING WELL BELOW NORMAL MAX TEMPS WITH HIGHS STRUGGLING
TO  REACH THE LOW/MID 20S.

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 528 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016

VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SCATTERED TO
BROKEN MID LEVEL CLOUDS NEAR FL070 WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
MORNING...THEN CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED AFTER 18Z OR SO. SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL TURN NORTHWEST AFTER 18Z...BUT SHOULD REMAIN
UNDER 12KT. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE
NORTHWEST WILL SPREAD MORE MID LEVEL CLOUDS INTO THE AREA TOWARD
THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEE
LONG TERM...DEE
AVIATION...DERGAN



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