Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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657
FXUS63 KOAX 101816
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1216 PM CST WED FEB 10 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1212 PM CST WED FEB 10 2016

SHORT TERM TWEAKS TO THE FORECAST WITH CLOUDS AND LIGHT SNOW
PUSHING EAST. 18Z SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA TRACKING SOUTHEAST WITH A WARM FRONT AHEAD OF IT BOOSTING
TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 30S AND 40S ABOVE FORECAST HIGHS. LOW
CLOUDS WILL TRY TO RETURN AS LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES NORTHEAST ONCE
THE SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO KANSAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN DURING THE PERIOD AS AREA
REMAINS UNDER STRONG AMPLIFIED FLOW PATTERN BETWEEN RIDGE IN THE
WEST AND TROUGH IN THE EAST.

REGIONAL RADARS AT 08Z SHOWING BAND OF LIGHT SNOW OVER EASTERN
SOUTH DAKOTA WORKING SOUTHEAST ALONG STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE. THIS
SNOW BAND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS EASTERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST
AREA THIS MORNING...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE IOWA NEBRASKA
BORDER. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS GENERALLY LESS THAN AN INCH ARE
INDICATED AT THIS TIME. SNOW THEN MOVES OFF THIS AFTERNOON.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE REGION TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF
ANOTHER WEAK IMPULSE MOVING ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS THE
DAKOTAS ON THURSDAY. EASTERN PARTS OF THE AREA WILL AGAIN SEE THE
CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THIS SYSTEM
MOVES TO THE SOUTHEAST. A LARGE ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE DROPS INTO
THE REGION ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A SURGE OF VERY COLD
AIR EXPECTED FROM THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY EASTWARD TOWARD THE
GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY. GENERALLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS THROUGH
MUCH OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

COLD AIR LINGERS THROUGH SATURDAY WITH ANOTHER CHANCE OF LIGHT
SNOW SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AS UPPER FLOW BECOMES LESS AMPLIFIED
AND NORTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. TREND
TOWARD WARMER TEMPERATURES CONTINUES EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH RIDGE
PUSHING INTO THE PLAINS AND A MORE SPLIT FLOW DEVELOPING IN THE
EAST.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1138 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

VFR CONDITIONS INITIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AS BAROCLINIC ZONE AND
CLOUDS/LIGHT SNOW SHIFTING OFF TO THE EAST. AS THE SHORTWAVE DROPS
TO THE SOUTH AND FLOW BECOMES NORTHEAST...SHOULD PULL BACK MVFR
CIGS IN ACROSS THE TAF SITES LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THERMAL PROFILES/SATURATION TEND TO KEEP THE FLURRIES EAST OF THE
AREA UNTIL THE NEXT CLIPPER APPROACHES LATER THURSDAY. VARIABLE
SURFACE WINDS MOSTLY 10KTS OR LESS FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST
WITH THE SURFACE LOW DROPPING SOUTHEAST.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...ZAPOTOCNY
SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY



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