Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 181944

244 PM CDT Sat Oct 18 2014

Issued at 243 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

Gradually warming temperatures and continued dry conditions are
expected for the remainder of the weekend and the first half of next
week as our upper trough departs to the east and warmer conditions
build in from the west. Another shortwave trough will drop southeast
across the Great Lakes region on Monday, driving a weak cold front
through the CWA and possibly fueling a few scattered showers across
the southern half of MO; however, no rainfall is expected in our
area, and temperatures should not be significantly impacted.

The next feature to watch continues to be the trough currently well
offshore in the north Pacific. This feature will gradually push east
by early next week, and may arrive in the central CONUS Wednesday
night or Thursday. Model consistency remains poor with the strength,
timing, and track of the trough as it heads east, therefore although
it results in the best chance of rainfall in the next seven days,
confidence is low for the chance of any measurable precipitation.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday Afternoon)
Issued at 1239 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

VFR conditions are expected to persist through the TAF period. Some
isolated cumulus with bases around 3-4 kft may edge into the
terminals this afternoon, then will dissipate by early evening. Light
north northeast winds will gradually veer to the south overnight,
eventually increasing out of the south southwest at around 10 kts by
mid morning Sunday.




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