Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 181113
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
613 AM CDT Fri Jul 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 311 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

The cool and dry weather we`ve experienced this week will be coming
to an end by early next week as temperatures climb into the 90s by
Sunday. As the cooler surface high continues to shift to the east,
low level flow will become southerly drawing moisture back
northward. Additionally, the upper ridge that has led to very hot
conditions over the western US will flatten out and expand eastward
into the central US. With heights and thickness values increasing,
and temperatures aloft climbing, low to mid 90 degree temperatures
with upper 90 to low 100 degree heat indices are likely to develop
and persist through much of next week.

With regards to precipitation, the next two to three days continue
to look dry as high pressure continues to influence the region
through Saturday. As the upper ridge flattens and builds east, our
upper level flow will remain northwesterly but with a greater potential
for shortwaves to travel over the ridge and into the area Monday
through Wednesday. This will bring us our best potential for
precipitation through this forecast. Later in the forecast period the
upper ridge strengthens with its axis generally from the Central High
Plains through the Northern Plains. This would tend to cap things off
for most of the forecast area but there may be northwest flow systems
clip our northeastern zones.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday Morning)
Issued at 613 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

VFR conditions are expected with scattered to broken mid-level clouds
through the forecast. Winds may be light and variable initially but
should trend to a southeasterly flow of 5 to 8 kts and then persist
that way through the early Saturday morning.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CDB
AVIATION...CDB





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