Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KLZK 240915
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
415 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE EAST OF ARKANSAS TODAY AND BE QUICKLY
FOLLOWED BY AN UPPER TROUGH. A STRONGER UPPER TROUGH WILL DIVE INTO
THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THURSDAY. AN
AMPLIFYING RIDGE OVER THE WEST WILL HELP THE TROUGH STRENGTHEN OVER
THE EAST.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
SOUTHEAST KANSAS. SOME OF THESE COULD DRIFT INTO NORTH ARKANSAS THIS
MORNING...SO WILL MAINLY GO WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE. THERE WILL BE A
BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT IN THE NORTH WHEN THE UPPER
TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH. LOW PRESSURE IN THE PLAINS THIS MORNING
WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL BRING
INCREASED WINDS THAT WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES. ISSUED A LAKE WIND
ADVISORY THROUGH 00Z FOR THE NORTH HALF OF THE AREA. ALSO INCLUDED
SOME MORNING PATCHY FOG IN THE SOUTH.

WITH THE SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH TONIGHT AND A COLD FRONT MOVING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY IN THE NORTHWEST PART OF ARKANSAS. STRONG
WINDS AND DAMAGING HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. GOOD CHANCES OF
RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THE FRONT WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. EXPECT
RAIN TO DISSIPATE IN THE SOUTHEAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON. INCLUDED A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE NORTH FRIDAY AS A SHORT WAVE MOVES
THROUGH THE NORTHWEST FLOW. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TODAY AND WEDNESDAY WELL INTO THE 70S. HOWEVER...MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY BEHIND THE FRONT.

&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY
THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL START WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
REGION...WHILE THE DEEP UPPER TROUGH WAS OVER THE EASTERN U.S. ALOFT
SOME SHORT WAVE ENERGY IS SEEN IN THE UPPER NW FLOW...AND CURRENT
MODEL RUNS INDICATE A LOW CHANCE OF RAIN POSSIBLE WITH THE SHORT
WAVE. MOISTURE SHOULD BE LIMITED AND AT THIS TIME WILL ONLY HAVE
SOME CLOUDS. ON SUNDAY...THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES MORE
SE...AND A SOUTH WIND RETURNS TO THE REGION. THIS WILL HELP WARM
TEMPS AND GRADUALLY UP MOISTURE LEVELS...WHILE DRY WEATHER IS STILL
FORECAST. ON MONDAY...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SAGS SOUTH TO NORTHERN AR
AND THE CHANCE OF RAIN COMES UP...BUT AT THIS TIME DUE TO THE
UNCERTAINTY WILL KEEP POPS JUST BELOW SLIGHT CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST. MONDAY NIGHT TO TUESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IS IN
THE FORECAST. TEMPS WILL START COOLER THAN NORMAL ON SATURDAY WITH A
FEW SPOTS POSSIBLY CLOSE TO FREEZING...THEN A GRADUALLY WARMING
TREND  TO AT OR ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     74  53  75  49 /  20  30  50  70
CAMDEN AR         79  57  78  55 /  10  20  30  60
HARRISON AR       74  50  74  44 /  20  30  60  70
HOT SPRINGS AR    78  56  78  52 /  10  20  40  70
LITTLE ROCK   AR  77  55  78  52 /  10  20  40  70
MONTICELLO AR     78  57  78  55 /  10  20  20  60
MOUNT IDA AR      78  55  77  50 /  10  20  40  70
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  74  50  74  45 /  20  30  60  70
NEWPORT AR        74  54  75  50 /  10  20  50  70
PINE BLUFF AR     78  56  78  54 /  10  20  30  60
RUSSELLVILLE AR   75  54  76  48 /  20  20  50  70
SEARCY AR         75  55  76  51 /  10  20  40  70
STUTTGART AR      77  55  78  52 /  10  20  30  60
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
BAXTER-BOONE-CLEBURNE-CONWAY-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JOHNSON-LOGAN-LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-
MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-PERRY-POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-
SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...51 / LONG TERM...59




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.