Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 271055
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
555 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

.AVIATION...

A FEW MID LEVEL CLOUDS ARE BEGINNING TO STREAM INTO NORTHERN
ARKANSAS...HOWEVER VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PERSIST THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD. MODELS SUGGEST A FEW SHOWERS MAY APPROACH KHRO
TOWARDS THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD...BUT DO BELIEVE THAT THESE WILL
HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER 12Z ON FRIDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 444 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP ARKANSAS DRY TODAY. THE HIGH WILL SHIFT
TO THE EAST FRIDAY...AND THIS WILL ALLOW A WEAK COLD FRONT TO
APPROACH FROM THE PLAINS.

THE FRONT WILL BE TIED TO A FAIRLY STRONG STORM SYSTEM
TRACKING THROUGH THE UPPER MIDWEST. WITH ENERGY SURROUNDING
THE SYSTEM GOING WELL TO THE NORTH...AND WITH LITTLE MOISTURE
IN PLACE LOCALLY...THE FRONT WILL STRUGGLE TO PRODUCE
PRECIPITATION. FOR NOW...HAVE SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY.

AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES...READINGS WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL
TODAY. HOWEVER...THERE WILL BE SLOW WARMING THROUGH THE
PERIOD...WITH READINGS CLOSER TO NORMAL BY THIS WEEKEND.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
LITTLE CHANGE TO THE LONG TERM FORECAST WITH MODELS REMAINING IN
GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE PERIOD. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE
ACROSS THE REGION BEGINNING TOWARDS THE END OF THE SHORT TERM AND
CONTINUING INTO THE LONG TERM WITH DEWPOINTS REMAINING IN THE UPPER
60S. DIURNAL CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN
THE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     84  61  85  67 /   0   0   0  10
CAMDEN AR         89  62  89  65 /   0   0   0   0
HARRISON AR       83  61  83  66 /   0   0  10  30
HOT SPRINGS AR    88  63  88  67 /   0   0   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  87  63  89  68 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     87  63  89  66 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      89  61  88  66 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  83  61  84  66 /   0   0   0  20
NEWPORT AR        83  61  86  66 /   0   0   0  10
PINE BLUFF AR     86  62  88  66 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   87  62  87  67 /   0   0   0  10
SEARCY AR         85  61  87  65 /   0   0   0  10
STUTTGART AR      85  62  87  66 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...65



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