Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 291932
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
232 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN IN PLACE ACROSS
THE REGION WILL RETREAT TO THE WEST SOMEWHAT...ALLOWING A NWLY FLOW
TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA. AT THE SURFACE...A QUASI STATIONARY
FRONT OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI WILL PUSH DOWN ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT
AND TOMORROW. ALTHOUGH THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY LOWER
DAYTIME HIGHS...THE MOST NOTICABLE EFFECT WILL BE LOWER DEWPOINTS.

AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL ONLY TOP 105 DEGRESS ACROSS A SMALL
PART OF THE SOUTHERN ZONES FOR A FEW HOURS TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
CONSIDERING THIS...I WILL LET THE EXISTING HEAT ADVISORY EXPIRE
THIS EVENING AND WILL NOT REISSUE AT THIS TIME.

THERE COULD BE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY...BUT WITH THE DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE ABOVE...I HAVE
OPTED ONLY FOR SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN MOST AREAS.
&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES AT THE
START OF THE PERIOD...IS EXPECTED TO BUILD TOWARDS THE MID SOUTH
DURING THIS PERIOD.  ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH MOST OF THIS PERIOD...ALONG WITH DRY CONDITIONS.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     74  91  70  92 /  20  10   0   0
CAMDEN AR         77  97  72  94 /  20  30  10   0
HARRISON AR       72  86  68  89 /  20  10  10   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    78  95  72  93 /  20  20  10   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  78  93  72  93 /  20  20   0   0
MONTICELLO AR     79  96  72  92 /  20  30  10   0
MOUNT IDA AR      75  94  71  92 /  20  30  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  71  89  69  91 /  20  10   0   0
NEWPORT AR        75  91  70  93 /  20  10   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     78  93  71  92 /  20  20   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   77  93  71  93 /  20  20  10  10
SEARCY AR         76  92  69  93 /  20  10   0   0
STUTTGART AR      77  92  70  92 /  20  20   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARKANSAS-
DESHA-DREW-INDEPENDENCE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-LINCOLN-LONOKE-MONROE-
PRAIRIE-SHARP-WHITE-WOODRUFF.


HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR BRADLEY-CALHOUN-
CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-DALLAS-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-
GRANT-HOT SPRING-IZARD-JOHNSON-LOGAN-MONTGOMERY-OUACHITA-PERRY-
PIKE-POLK-POPE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-STONE-VAN BUREN-YELL.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...53 / LONG TERM...55



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