Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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715
FXUS64 KLZK 021655
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1055 AM CST TUE FEB 2 2016

.AVIATION...
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL...EXCEPT FOR BRIEF MVFR AS THIN
LINE OF PRECIP PASSES AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. GRADIENT
SURROUNDING THE BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN HIGH...WITH GUSTY WINDS
THROUGH THE TERMINAL PERIOD. SUSTAINED SPEEDS WILL RELAX A BIT BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. TAFS OUT SHORTLY.
&&

.UPDATE...
FRONTAL BOUNDARY CURRENTLY ANALYZED THROUGH THE CENTRAL PORTION OF
AR...WITH THIN LINE OF PRECIP ALONG/AHEAD OF IT. LOW STRATOCU OVER
EASTERN ARKANSAS HAS HELD PRETTY FAST THIS MORNING...NOT ALLOWING
FOR MUCH SURFACE-BASED DESTABILIZATION YET. WARM ADVECTION IS
PRETTY STRONG...THOUGH....WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING WELL INTO THE
70S AHEAD OF THE FRONT. WOULDN/T BE SURPRISED IF SOME AREAS OVER
EASTERN ARKANSAS PUSH 80 BEFORE THE FRONT PASSES. AFTER THE
FROPA...TEMPERATURES WILL DROP A BIT...BUT WITH STRONG SOUTHWEST
WINDS REMAINING...THERE WILL BE SOME RECOVERY IN THE AFTERNOON.

HAVE GONE AHEAD AND UPDATED FOR TEMPERATURES AND WINDS. ALSO
ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN ARKANSAS...AS
HUMIDITY WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE 20TH PERCENTILE AND WINDS WILL
REMAIN ELEVATED...BUT PROBABLY A BIT MARGINAL.

ALL UPDATES ARE OUT FOR THE TIME BEING.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR ARKANSAS-
BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-
DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-
POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-
WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL.

RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR JOHNSON-LOGAN-
MONTGOMERY-PIKE-POLK-SCOTT-YELL.
&&

$$

AVIATION...57



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