Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 181742
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1242 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR THROUGHOUT THIS FORECAST PERIOD WITH ONLY SCT MID AND HI
CLOUDS PASSING OVER FROM TIME TO TIME.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 642 AM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...

UPDATED FOR THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN
LESS THAN 10KT...AND LARGELY BETWEEN 360-050 DEGREES.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 417 AM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT

A WEAK FRONT PASSED THROUGH THE REGION ON FRIDAY...LEAVING BEHIND
A NORTH/NORTHEAST WIND AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES.

A MIX OF SUN AND HIGH CLOUDS IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH CLOSE TO
NORMAL TEMPERATURES. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY...WITH
READINGS A COUPLE OF DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO ARKANSAS
FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE FRONT WILL BRING MORE CLOUDS...AND ONLY
SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS TO NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE.

HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY AIR WILL RETURN ON TUESDAY...WITH A TRANQUIL
PATTERN TO BEGIN THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

MODEL AGREEMENT IN THE LONG TERM PERIOD IS NOT THE GREATEST THIS
MORNING...BUT AT THE SAME TIME THE DIFFERENCES DO NOT APPEAR TO HAVE
MUCH IMPACT ON ARKANSAS WEATHER. THE PERIOD WILL START WITH A HIGH
AMPLITUDE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES...AND A
LARGE CUTOFF LOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC SEABOARD. THIS
LOW WILL MEANDER ABOUT WEDNESDAY AND INTO THURSDAY BEFORE BEING
KICKED OFF INTO THE ATLANTIC ON FRIDAY. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH
PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED WELL TO THE NE OF THE STATE...KEEPING
A STEADY INFLUX OF DRY AIR INTO THE STATE. THIS PATTERN WILL YIELD
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WHICH WILL RESULT IN NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES
DURING THE DAY BUT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL READINGS OVERNIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     70  44  68  47 /   0   0   0  10
CAMDEN AR         76  48  73  48 /   0   0   0   0
HARRISON AR       67  42  67  48 /   0   0   0  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    73  46  71  48 /   0   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  72  46  70  48 /   0   0   0   0
MONTICELLO AR     75  48  72  49 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      73  45  71  48 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  67  43  67  47 /   0   0   0  10
NEWPORT AR        70  44  67  47 /   0   0   0  10
PINE BLUFF AR     73  46  71  48 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   72  45  70  48 /   0   0   0  10
SEARCY AR         71  44  69  47 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      71  45  69  48 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...28




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