271
FXUS64 KLZK 061943
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
243 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 100 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

Latest data from local radars indicate widely scattered (~20
percent coverage) across the eastern half of the forecast area,
moving eastward. This activity has formed in an area of very
weakly sheared, weakly forced, moderately unstable atmosphere.
This activity is expected to decrease with the loss of solar
heating.

Slightly more widespread activity is expected for Monday and
Tuesday afternoon and evening, with highest concentration of
precipitation expected across northern sections of the forecast
area.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through next Sunday)
Issued at 100 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

A weak northwest flow pattern will be in place across the mid
south during at the start of this forecast period, then will
flatten as upper level heights increase. During the second half of
the forecast period, a overall decrease in diurnally enhanced
convection is expected, along with a slight warming trend. Would
expect heat headlines during the second half of the forecast
period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1140 AM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

VFR conditions will be noted over the majority of the period from
Sunday afternoon through Monday afternoon across most terminals with
a few minor exceptions which will be mentioned later in this
discussion. Across all sites, VCTS has been included from Sunday
afternoon thru Sunday evening as SHRA/TSRA coverage will become more
widespread, but remain isolated overall. The only exception of
degraded flight category mentioned above will occur from early
Monday morning until an hour or two after sunrise at the sites of
KHOT and KADF as VSBY is expected to lower to MVFR flight category.
Surface winds across all sites will be variable for a large portion
of the forecast period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     72  92  72  91 /  30  60  20  70
Camden AR         74  96  73  93 /  10  40  10  60
Harrison AR       70  88  69  86 /  40  50  20  70
Hot Springs AR    74  95  73  93 /  10  50  20  60
Little Rock   AR  75  94  75  93 /  10  40  20  60
Monticello AR     75  95  74  93 /  10  40  10  60
Mount Ida AR      72  94  72  90 /  10  40  20  70
Mountain Home AR  70  88  70  88 /  40  60  20  70
Newport AR        74  94  74  93 /  30  40  20  60
Pine Bluff AR     75  94  74  93 /  10  30  10  60
Russellville AR   73  93  73  90 /  20  50  20  60
Searcy AR         72  93  73  93 /  20  50  20  60
Stuttgart AR      76  94  75  93 /  20  30  20  50

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...74