Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 150800
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
300 AM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 300 AM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

A cold front was making its way through the forecast area early this
morning accompanied by showers and a few thunderstorms and some
gusty northwest winds. All short term models indicate front should
clear the eastern Ozarks by, or shortly after 12Z this morning. Post
frontal showers may persist through mid morning, especially over the
eastern Ozarks. By this afternoon clouds will begin to clear from
west to east as high pressure begins builds into the region. Breezy
northwest winds will gradually taper off through the late afternoon
hours. Cooler temperatures behind the front will result in
afternoon highs just in the upper 50s to the mid 60s.

This high will then be overhead tonight resulting in clear skies and
light winds. Excellent radiational cooling expected and lows will
likely drop into the upper 30s to lower 40s. Not expecting any frost
at this time, but day shift will have to watch to see of patchy
frost may be needed.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 300 AM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Northwesterly flow aloft will dominate the pattern from Monday into
Wednesday, before pattern begins to transition to a more
southwesterly flow as an upper ridge of high pressure builds
northward across the eastern Conus Thursday through Saturday. High
pressure at the surface will keep more fall like weather over the
region to begin the week, with highs in the 60s to around 70 and
lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Skies will be mainly clear
through this period. A slow warming trend is then expected from
Wednesday through Saturday as highs rebound back into the upper
70s to around 80 by late in the week and the beginning of the
weekend. No appreciable rain chances are expected during this
period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1225 AM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Cold front has pushed through KJLN and will be pushing through
KSGF and KBBG by 09Z with northwest winds gusting to 25 knots or
so. Expect showers and thunderstorms to accompany the front
through the region through at least 12Z. Some post frontal
stratus will likely lower ceilings in the MVFR category with
perhaps some localized IFR at times through 12Z. Flight
conditions will improve by mid to late morning as skies begin to
clear from the west as high pressure begins to build in. Clear
skies and a diminishing northwest winds are expected by late
afternoon and into tonight.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Raberding
LONG TERM...Raberding
AVIATION...Raberding



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