Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 011857
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
157 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Tuesday)

A closed off upper level low pressure system was slowly moving
across the deep south triggering thunderstorms across Alabama and
Georgia. This system induced upper northwest flow over the Ozarks,
which is a little different for the month of June. This pattern kept
temperatures comfortable across the region as temperatures had
only warmed into the 60s and lower 70s this afternoon.

Cloud cover also helped keep temperatures in check. Eventually
these clouds will start to break up, and peeks of sun will be
observed in most locations.

This break in cloud cover will cool the region down into the low
to mid 50s tonight.

Chamber of commerce weather is expected for Tuesday as southerly
breezes return. We will also see more sunshine Tuesday with
temperatures ranging from the middle 70s to the lower 80s.


.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)

An upper level ridge will gradually build over the nation`s mid
section Wednesday through Friday, as the first attempt at
establishing a summertime high occurs.

Temperatures will warm into the 80s on an afternoon basis. Our
next chances for showers and thunderstorms could occur Friday
night into Saturday morning. A short wave trough migrates around
the periphery of the summertime high, likely to trigger a
nocturnal complex of storms somewhere either within or near the
Ozarks.

This same pattern takes shape through the entire weekend, which
could make it somewhat active in terms of showers and
thunderstorms.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1243 PM CDT MON JUN 1 2015

Upper level low pressure across southeastern Missouri will keep
MVFR ceilings established across southern Missouri for much of the
afternoon. Ceilings may rise just enough for VFR conditions from
late this afternoon into this evening. Ceilings will then start to
lower once again later tonight with MVFR becoming increasingly
likely. Some light fog will also be possible by late tonight,
especially around Branson. Winds will remain light through Tuesday
morning and will back around from the northeast to southeast.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Schaumann





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