Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 231931
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
231 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 230 PM Sun Jul 23 2017

A weak shortwave moving into southwest Missouri has lead to the
development of isolated weak showers in the vicinity of I-44 at 2
PM. May see an uptick in coverage from late afternoon into this
evening though widespread coverage is unfortunately not expected.

Bigger story will be the drier dew points that have mixed into the
region this afternoon...especially in the eastern Ozarks. Heat
indices are still ranging around 100 in the west though the
arrival of the drier air will spread region wide on Monday
allowing the termination of the heat warning/advisory this
evening.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 230 PM Sun Jul 23 2017

With the upper ridge building back...the better moisture that was
positioned just south of the region will flow back into the area
on Wednesday again pushing heat indices toward advisory criteria.
The impact of the heat will be locally offset by the development
of convection...though coverage will be less than desired.

Better chances for thunderstorms will be tied to the approach of a
stronger wave that will top the ridge and descend into the Ohio
Valley late in the work week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday morning)
Issued at 230 PM Sun CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

High based convection will move through the Ozarks this
afternoon...with slighter better chances found in the BBG region into
this evening. Otherwise VFR conditions will prevail with surface
winds being light but chaotic into Monday.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MOZ082-090>092-
     094>098-101>106.

     Excessive Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for
     MOZ055>058-066>071-077>081-083-088-089-093.

KS...Excessive Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for KSZ073-
     097-101.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Runnels
LONG TERM...Runnels
AVIATION...Runnels



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