Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 241100

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
500 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and this evening)
Issued at 238 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

Surface low pressure is building across the central Plains early
this morning. The low will spread east today. Ahead of the low
across southeastern Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks, southerly
winds will occur ushering warm temperatures as highs warm into the
60s. The pressure gradient will tighten across the area allowing
breezy and gusty winds. Gusts up to 40 mph will be possible at
times this afternoon west of Highway 65.

These gusty winds combined with warm and dry conditions will
created an elevated fire weather risk, especially across grasslands
this afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Tonight through Monday)
Issued at 238 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

The surface low and associated cold front will push across the
area tonight into Wednesday morning. Winds will shift from the
south to the west on Wednesday then northwest by Wednesday night
behind the front. Cooler conditions will spread into the area
bringing temperatures closer to seasonal norms with highs in the
upper 30s to the lower 40s and lows in the 20s.

An upper level trough will extend out of the Great Lakes into the
south Plains behind the front from mid week into the weekend. This
will help keep the seasonable temperatures occurring through this

An upper level disturbance will spread across the region late this
weekend. Moisture will be limited and only light precipitation if
any will be possible.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday morning)
Issued at 500 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

VFR conditions will occur at the TAF sites today and tonight.
Gusty southerly winds will develop this morning into this evening
with the strongest winds occurring this afternoon. The gusty winds
will occur in response to low pressure pushing across the Plains
towards the area today.

Tonight into Wednesday morning the low pressure and an associated
cold front will push through the area. No precipitation is
expected along the front as a dry air mass is in place. Winds will
weaken as the low moves through the area and switch to the west
behind the front.




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