Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 220828
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
228 AM CST Wed Feb 22 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 150 AM CST Wed Feb 22 2017

Dense fog will continue early this morning across the area and
existing Dense Fog Advisory handles things well through 9am. Once
the fog burns off temps will really warm up with record breaking
highs possible in some locations. Relative humidity values will
fall near or below 30 percent this afternoon across SE Kansas and
W Missouri. This combined with 20 mph wind gusts will create
elevated fire weather conditions. Low temps Tonight will remain
mild in the lower 50s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 150 AM CST Wed Feb 22 2017

Shortwave trough and developing surface low pressure will move
across the plains and to the north of the area Thursday. While a
sprinkle/shower is possible early Thursday across west central
Missouri, it will likely remain a dry and very warm day as a
strong cap/elevated mixed layer moves into the area from the
southwest. Record high temps are possible again Thursday.

A dry cold front moves through Friday morning. Models suggest an
isolated shower/storm is possible across the eastern Ozarks Friday
morning however chances look fairly low. Gusty west winds and dry
air advecting in Friday will lead to elevated fire weather
conditions.

Saturdays forecast highs in the 40s will be a shock to the system
compared to recent temps. High pressure moving in Saturday and
Sunday will lead to a dry weekend however. Southwest flow
commences early next week with showers and thunderstorm chances
returning. Temperatures will also moderate during this timeframe
back to above normal.


&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1146 PM CST Tue Feb 21 2017

Thick fog has developed on the western edge of thicker cloud
cover where temps and dewpoints dropped several degrees within an
hour. With light winds and saturated lower levels, the fog should
remain over the Springfield airport through the rest of the night
with visibilities fluctuating between one half and one quarter
mile. Think Branson will follow suite and drop below a mile
within the next hour or two. The Joplin area may see fog toward
sunrise but shouldn`t get as socked in with drier lower levels.

Still looks like fog thins fairly quickly by mid morning with a
rapid jump in temperatures as we rise to near record levels. Did
bump winds up to around 10 knots during late morning at Joplin
and Springfield.


&&

.CLIMATE...
There will be the potential for additional record highs through
mid week with highs in the middle to upper 70s...

Record HighsFeb 22nd Feb 23rd
Springfield 76/1995 79/1982
Joplin 87/199679/1982
Vichy- Rolla76/1995 81/1982
West Plains     74/1988     82/1996

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for MOZ057-058-
     069>071-079>083-089>098-101>106.

KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Burchfield
LONG TERM...Burchfield
AVIATION...Terry
CLIMATE...Burchfield


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