Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 202359

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
659 PM CDT Mon Mar 20 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 248 PM CDT Mon Mar 20 2017

At mid afternoon...a surface front was draped across the northern
CWA. In addition...a weak upper wave traversing the area had
managed to set off some elevated convection at late morning that
has since moved on into eastern Missouri.

The surface front will continue to push southward this evening.
May see some isentropic upglide along the front which could
produce some elevated convection overnight. Low temperatures
should generally be in the 50s overnight. Cooler air begins to
filter in behind the front on Tuesday.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 248 PM CDT Mon Mar 20 2017

The front will remain across Arkansas through Thursday which will
keep rain chances in the forecast through that period.
Temperatures will be cool with highs Wednesday in the upper 40s to
mid 50s with lows Tuesday and Wednesday night in the upper 30s to
mid 40s.

Our next big weather maker is currently making its way onto the
California coast. This system is expected to close off as it
crosses the Rockies and approaches the Southern Plains by Friday
morning. The resulting surface front will pull the warm moist Gulf
airmass northward once more beginning on Thursday. The best
chances for strong to severe storms look to be during the
afternoon and evening hours on Friday. This system looks to be a
good rainmaker as well...with the best rains looking to occur
during the overnight hours on Friday.

This system should clear the area late Saturday night with Sunday
being a fairly decent day before yet another system approaches the
area late Sunday night into Monday.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 648 PM CDT Mon Mar 20 2017

Aviators can expect VFR flight conditions across the region
through the rest of this evening and during the overnight hours.
Some high clouds will be present through sunrise but otherwise no
impacts are expected. A front will slide through the region and
impact the area Tuesday morning with the potential for showers
and storms. Visibilities will fall to MVFR as ceilings drop to
low end MVFR with some IFR periods possible by Tuesday afternoon
behind the front. Surface winds will shift from southwest to
northeast as the front passes.




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