Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 211116
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
616 AM CDT Thu Sep 21 2017

...12z Aviation Forecast Update...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 133 AM CDT Thu Sep 21 2017

Another very mild night with current temps as of 1 am near
average daytime highs! Southerly winds will continue to keep temps
up overnight and this will set us up for another hot day. After
yesterdays over performing highs, nudged highs up a degree or two
above guidance with most locations just above 90F. Heat indices
will again be near 100F given dewpoints near 70F.

Afternoon diurnal cumulus will likely occur again today and can
not rule out an isolated shower across the eastern Ozarks however
most if not all locations will remain dry.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 133 AM CDT Thu Sep 21 2017

The area will remain under the influence of upper level ridging
Friday through Sunday with high temperatures in the upper 80s to
around 90. Models due show 850mb temps a degree or two cooler with
each passing day so may see a slight reduction in temps each day.

A large upper level trough will begin to slowly move east toward
the area beginning Sunday. A few afternoon showers and storms are
possible Sunday afternoon mainly across the eastern ozarks.
Better chances for rain will occur Monday through Wednesday as
pieces of energy move toward the area. This will also cause highs
to return to average levels for the time of year.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Friday morning)
Issued at 614 AM CDT Thu Sep 21 2017

VFR conditions will prevail with mostly clear skies. Winds will be
southerly around 5 to 10 knots. Some gusts up to 20 knots will be
possible for JLN and SGF midday through the afternoon.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Burchfield
LONG TERM...Burchfield
AVIATION...Griffin


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