Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 150012

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
712 PM CDT Mon Aug 14 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)

Weak zonal flow brought cloud cover across the Ozarks today as a
large cluster of precipitation fell over northern Arkansas. Areas
north of the state line remained dry with temperatures reaching
the upper 70s and low 80s.

For late tonight, additional showers and thunderstorms are
expected to develop across eastern Oklahoma. There is a chance
that some of this activity could spread into southern Missouri
prior to sunrise, therefore, we do have some chance pops going
tonight. No severe storms are expected through tonight.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)

Weak southwest flow will persist through the rest of the week as
disturbances ride the flow into the eastern Plains and Missouri.
These disturbances will trigger showers and thunderstorms and
bring them into the area. Therefore nearly all periods from
Tuesday night into the upcoming weekend will have precipitation

We also know that temperatures will experience a warming trend.
Models indicate a strengthening summertime high toward the
weekend. This will boost afternoon temperatures back into the
upper 80s. Heat index readings will reach the upper 90s.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 706 PM CDT Mon Aug 14 2017

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: Low level moisture will remain in place with
weak low level winds. Expect to see some fog and stratus formation
again tonight toward 06z. Guidance has the best chance south of
the higher elevation Ozarks terrain over far southern MO with
KBBG having the best chance to see IFR cat visibility and/or
ceilings. Improvement in conditions will occur late in the taf




LONG TERM...Cramer
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