Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 280756
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
256 AM CDT Sat Mar 28 2015

...Morning Light Rain/Snow Across The Eastern Missouri Ozark Today...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 241 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

Water vapor this morning showing a shortwave feature currently
over Iowa and moving southeastward. Regional radar have shown a
gradual increase in precip aloft but haven`t seen much in the way
of surface reports reflecting precip reaching the ground yet.

Short range high resolution models indicate that light precip in
the form of light rain or snow will affect the eastern Missouri
Ozarks through mid morning...mainly east of Highway 65. A minor
dusting to maybe up to half an inch of snow may be possible on
grassy areas and elevated objects over the eastern Ozarks. But
with a high sun angle this morning and it being late March...this
will be more of the exception than the rule. And road and ground
temperatures are too warm for any impacts or accumulations on
roadways.

The light precip will end by late morning across south central
Missouri. Partial clearing of the clouds expected across the
western and northern areas with the exception being south central
Missouri. This is where temperatures will remain the coolest today
with highs only in the lower 40s but where sunshine does make an
appears across southeast Kansas...temperatures may reach near 60.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 241 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

The highly amplified pattern will begin to flatten somewhat
starting on Sunday. Another weak trough or wind shift will move
through late Sunday. Temperatures will be more seasonable Sunday
with highs in the lower to middle 60s. A few light spotty showers
will be possible late Sunday into Sunday evening with the passage
of this surface trough.

Milder weather returns for the early and middle of next week. The
overall pattern becomes more zonal. The medium range models still
indicate a weak disturbance moving through the flow late Tuesday
into Wednesday. With this feature there could be a slight chance
for a shower or isolated storm. The better chance for more
widespread showers and storms will arrive with a front Wednesday
night into Thursday. The models lose consistency and there is some
uncertainty toward the end of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday Night)
Issued at 1123 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

Another upper level shortwave and speed max will dive south-
southeast tonight and bring additional chances of light snow/rain
to the area towards morning into Saturday. Most of the light qpf
will likely be over areas east of the terminals and will not be
mentioning any precipitation in the TAFs for the 06z taf period.
Have gone with VFR conditions through the period, and will likely
see winds shift to the east-southeast during the day Saturday and
increase speeds.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Lindenberg





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