Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 281920
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
220 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...

Nothing overly exciting weather wise coming up over the next week
to 10 days. The main branch of the mid-latitude westerlies will
remain well to our north in a typical summer time pattern. A
weaker system on the southern fringe of the westerly flow is
traversing across the central part of the country today. This
system will help force a weak frontal boundary down into northern
OK tonight into Sat morning. Storms will fire along the boundary
from eastern KS southwestward...and some of this activity is
forecast to make its way into our area this evening. Severe risk
remains low given weak shear and less than impressive instability.
Chances for storms will continue into Saturday ahead of the
boundary and along an upper trough/shear axis that sets up over
the eastern portion of the forecast area. The data indicates this
potential may linger into early next week...but confidence and
coverage of precip doesn`t warrant a slgt chc mention at this
point.

The mid level trough/shear axis eventually dissolves or
consolidates into an upper low over the TX Gulf Coast later next
week...with broad ridging dominating aloft. Thus...quiet weather
will be the rule for much of next week...with temps slightly above
average.

Lacy

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  90  69  90 /  50  10  10  10
FSM   68  89  68  92 /  40  40  10  10
MLC   70  89  70  93 /  40  30  10  10
BVO   67  89  63  89 /  50  10  10  10
FYV   63  85  62  87 /  50  30  10  10
BYV   64  85  63  87 /  50  30  10  10
MKO   68  88  69  90 /  50  20  10  10
MIO   67  88  66  89 /  50  10  10  10
F10   69  89  69  90 /  50  20  10  10
HHW   68  91  69  94 /  20  30  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....30



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