Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KTSA 300759
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
259 AM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...
FRONTAL BOUNDARY...CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
...WILL LIKELY BECOME DIFFUSE TODAY WITH DEEPER MOISTURE SURGING
BACK ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. HOT AND HUMID
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH HEAT INDICES
RUNNING IN THE 100 TO 103 DEGREE RANGE.

AS NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MCS TO
CLIP FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND POSSIBLY PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AGAIN WEDNESDAY OR WED
NIGHT. HEAVIER PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS APPEARS AT THIS TIME TO REMAIN
FURTHER NORTH AND EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS WILL HOWEVER BE POSSIBLE
WITH ANY STORMS THAT DO OCCUR...ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AS A STRONGER UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES OUT OF THE CENTRAL
PLAINS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES TO
IMPACT THE REGION INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. UNCERTAINTY REMAINS
REGARDING EXACT TIMING/EVOLUTION OF SYSTEMS INCLUDING THE LOCATION
OF THE HEAVIER RAINFALL AXIS. HOWEVER...HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES...COUPLED WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SLOW STORM MOTIONS
SUGGEST THE LIKELIHOOD FOR LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IN AREAS WHERE
STORMS TRAIN OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS.

PRECIPITATION CHANCES COULD LINGER INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT
WEEK ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS UPPER HIGH
REMAINS JUST WEST OF THE AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   95  76  94  76 /  10  10  20  20
FSM   95  73  94  74 /  10  20  20  30
MLC   95  74  95  73 /  10  10  10  20
BVO   95  74  95  73 /  10  10  20  20
FYV   90  69  88  74 /  10  20  40  40
BYV   90  72  86  73 /  10  20  40  50
MKO   94  74  91  74 /  10  10  20  20
MIO   93  73  91  74 /  10  10  40  50
F10   95  74  92  74 /  10  10  10  20
HHW   94  73  93  74 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...06
LONG TERM....12


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.