Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 141739
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1139 AM CST Tue Nov 14 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
IFR cigs and MVFR vsbys to prevail at all sites for this TAF period.
Brief MVFR cigs possible this afternoon, mainly across SE OK. A
frontal boundary approaching late tonight will increase rain
chances mainly across the NE OK and NW AR sites. Frontal passage
may occur late in the period at the NE OK sites...resulting in a
wind shift. Cigs will also begin to lift once the front passes.



&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1019 AM CST Tue Nov 14 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Shower activity currently across far ERN OK and NW AR continues to
slide east this morning. Will keep low chance pops going in those
areas through 18z...then will continue with slight chance pops for
the entire area this afternoon. Thick cloud cover will limit
warming today...so the small diurnal rises reflected in afternoon
high temperatures look good. Made a few small tweaks to high temps
across northwest Arkansas, otherwise rest of the area left as is.
Remaining forecast elements are in line as well. Cold front to
move through the area late tonight and tomorrow...with low pops
expected along the boundary. Front likely to stall somewhere in
the area before lifting back as a warm front Thursday. Warm temps
and breezy conditions likely Friday before a more significant cold
front moves through for the first part of the weekend.

Updated ZFP/PFM/AFM out shortly.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$


AVIATION.....23



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