Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 061734
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
1134 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Mostly clear skies and westerly winds should continue this
afternoon across Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
Overnight tonight...light winds are expected to become more
southerly before shifting back out of the west Sunday morning
ahead of a cold front approaching the region. The cold front is
forecast to be near BVO toward the end of the TAF period. Behind
the front...gusty northwesterly winds are expected. VFR conditions
should prevail through the TAF period.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 952 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
The area of low pressure that drifted southeast through Northern
Texas overnight was positioned over far Eastern Texas per latest
water vapor imagery this morning. With the movement of this
low...the light remaining precip over Southeast Oklahoma had
shifted southeast of the CWA. This has resulted in scattered cloud
cover and variable winds over Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest
Arkansas.

For the rest of today...cloud cover should continue to push off
toward the southeast and exit the CWA this afternoon hours.
Behind the scattered clouds...winds are expected to shift out of
the west northwest at around 5 to 10 mph with afternoon
temperatures a few degrees cooler compared to yesterday. Highs in
the 50s still look reasonable for much of the CWA this afternoon.

Morning update will be to remove morning precip wording and to add
minor tweaks to sky/temp/wind grids based on current trends.
Otherwise...current forecast looks to be on track at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   53  33  60  29 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   55  33  60  32 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   54  33  60  31 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   53  28  61  28 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   52  28  55  28 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   52  33  56  29 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   54  31  59  28 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   54  33  58  28 /   0   0   0   0
F10   53  33  59  30 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   55  33  60  32 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...20


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