Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 021132
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
632 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS SHOULD BE COMMON ONCE AGAIN TODAY ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING LOOK TO BECOME BREEZY AROUND 10KT FROM
THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN BACK TO LIGHT
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE
PERIOD.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 322 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

DISCUSSION...
WARM/DRY WEATHER ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AHEAD
OF NEXT UPPER DISTURBANCE....WHICH IS FORECAST TO SHIFT OUT OF THE
ROCKIES AND INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON TUESDAY. SCATTERED
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS IN ASSOCIATION WITH AFOREMENTIONED SYSTEM
TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT.

SLOW WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
AS UPPER RIDGE OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST DRIFTS SLOWLY EASTWARD.
LINGERING PRECIPITATION CHANCES EXPECTED WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW WEAK UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES TO MOVE ACROSS
IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.

MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH PUSHING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
AREA LATE NEXT WEEK AS STRONGER LONG WAVE TROUGH BECOMES
ESTABLISHED OVER THE NORTHEAST CONUS. SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT AS BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH ON FRIDAY
WITH COOLER CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   95  74  95  74 /   0  10  10  10
FSM   97  72  98  74 /  10  10  10  10
MLC   95  68  97  71 /  10  10  10  10
BVO   94  68  95  69 /  10  10  10  10
FYV   91  65  93  66 /   0  10  10   0
BYV   92  68  94  69 /   0  10  10   0
MKO   95  71  95  71 /  10  10  10  10
MIO   94  69  94  69 /   0  10  10  10
F10   95  72  95  72 /  10  10  10  10
HHW   98  68  99  73 /  10   0   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...20



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