Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 311745
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1245 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
GENERALLY VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD...HOWEVER THUNDERSTORMS
FROM KANSAS MAY SLIDE NEAR OR ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN OK
BORDER AFTER ABOUT 09Z THROUGH AROUND 14Z. VCTS INCLUDED
IN KBVO TAF WITHIN THAT PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1049 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014/

DISCUSSION...
ONLY MINOR TWEAKS FOR THIS MORNINGS UPDATE. UPDATED
PRODUCTS SENT.
GW

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 627 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR ALL SITES. ANY LATE
NIGHT CONVECTION IS MOST LIKELY TO REMAIN NORTH OF NE OK SITES.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 314 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014/

DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER UNSEASONABLY WARM DAY IS ON TAP FOR TODAY ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED
TO TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.

THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO THE FORECAST ON
LABOR DAY AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY AS A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE
CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTHWESTERN UNITED STATES MOVES INTO
THE PLAINS AND PUSHES A FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY BEFORE IT
RETURNS TO THE NORTH TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS A WARM FRONT.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL THAT SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT OCCUR DURING
THIS TIME-FRAME COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE WITH GUSTY WINDS AND
HAIL THE CONCERN.

UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MID TO LATE WEEK
AS HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME OVER THE WEEKEND
AS THE NEXT FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES INTO THE REGION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   76  94  76  93 /  10  10  50  40
FSM   73  92  75  92 /  10  10  20  40
MLC   76  92  77  93 /  10   0  20  20
BVO   75  95  74  92 /  10  30  50  40
FYV   71  88  71  86 /  10  20  40  50
BYV   71  88  72  86 /  10  20  50  50
MKO   73  92  74  92 /  10  10  30  40
MIO   74  91  73  89 /  10  30  50  50
F10   75  92  76  93 /  10  10  30  30
HHW   73  91  74  93 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...21





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